Victorian State Election 2010: Warrandyte
Margin: Liberal 9.0%
Upper house region: Eastern Metropolitan
Click here for Victorian Electoral Commission map
Electorate analysis: Nepean covers the southern tip of the Mornington Peninsula, from Portsea at the mouth of Port Phillip Bay to Point Leo on the Victorian south coast and Safety Beach on the bay. It was created at the 2002 election in place of Dromana, which from its creation in 1967 was only ever won by Labor at the 1982 election that brought John Cain’s government to power. Labor came within 78 votes of matching the feat following a 6.2 per cent swing in 2002, but sitting member Martin Dixon narrowly survived. Dixon was first elected in 1996 and has steadily climbed the stunted Liberal tree in opposition, reaching the position of Shadow Education Minister in February 2006. He has remained there since, outside of a period from after the 2006 election until August 2007 when he held a range of more junior portfolios.
Analysis written by William Bowe. Read William’s blog, The Poll Bludger.