Victorian State Election 2010: Narre Warren North
Electorate: Narre Warren North
Margin: Labor 9.2%
Upper house region: South-Eastern Metropolitan
Federal: Holt/La Trobe
Click here for Victorian Electoral Commission map
Electorate analysis: Narre Warren North is located in Melbourne’s south-eastern outskirts, from the suburb that bears its name west to Endeavour Hills. It was created at the 2002 election with the abolition of Berwick, which had been held by the Liberals since its creation in 1976. Berwick MP and Liberal Shadow Treasurer Robert Dean had intended to contest the neighbouring seat of Gembrook, but the plan came memorably undone when he was removed from the electoral roll on the grounds that he no longer lived at his registered address, which left him ineligible to stand. Labor subsequently recorded a remarkable 15.8 per cent swing in Narre Warren North, which contained most of the voters in the old seat of Berwick. The result was all but replicated in 2006, when the Liberals went further backwards on the primary vote and picked up a negligible two-party swing of 0.5 per cent.
The new Labor was Luke Donnellan, a real estate agent and member of the Labor Unity (Right) faction. Donnellan was promoted to parliamentary secretary for treasury and finance after the 2006 election, moving to parliamentary secretary to the Premier in the reshuffle that followed Steve Bracks’ departure in August 2007. The Liberal candidate is Michelle Frazer, who “consults to businesses, associations and community groups to improve economic development and community outcomes through the development of strategic plans, public relations and influencing government policy”.
Analysis written by William Bowe. Read William’s blog, The Poll Bludger.