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Topic: pollsters
Political polling is having an existential crisis

Political polling is having an existential crisis

Pollsters now face a serious challenge in restoring their credibility, and there is no indication this can be accomplished with existing methods.

Polls apart from reality

Polls apart from reality

Polling by news organisations -- a la the worm or a Herald Sun political poll -- tells us absolutely nothing about an issue. Why must we renounce nuanced problems down to a yes/no answer? asks Scott Bridges.

Who’s the “best party to manage”? Who knows

Who’s the “best party to manage”? Who knows

The media loves when pollsters ask "best party/leader to manage" questions, but, as Possum Comitatus explains (via graphs and words like "Coefficient Value"), they don't actually tell us anything.

Possum: Polling volatility is the new black

Possum: Polling volatility is the new black

The latest Newspoll looks to be a more historically consistent result with all the metrics now back in lockstep, says Possum Comitatus. And while Rudd's satisfaction has been down, a complimentary boost to Turnbull hasn’t eventuated.

Newspoll: ALP bounces back

Newspoll: ALP bounces back

The eagerly awaited Newspoll results are in: Labor bouncing from last fortnight's 52-48 quirk to 56-44. Meanwhile, the latest Essential report has lurched from 59-41 to 55-45, the lowest lead for Labor so far.

Greens get the climate poll they paid for

Greens get the climate poll they paid for

The Greens recently commissioned a Galaxy poll on public opinion to the Government's ETS and, surprise surprise says Andrew Norton: it found Australians want a more ambitious emissions target.

Newspoll: ??-??

Newspoll: ??-??

After last week's rogue Newspoll result, The Oz sent its pollster out into the field again over the weekend for an eagerly anticipated follow-up survey. Too bad they haven't shared the results with the rest of Australia. Gary Morgan is unimpressed.

Possum: What if you were a pollster and produced an outlier?

Possum: What if you were a pollster and produced an outlier?

What would you do if you ran a polling organisation that produced a result that was almost certainly an outlier? Would you publish? asks Possum. In some cases *cough*, pollsters are damned if they do, damned if they don't.

The Newspoll numbers <em>The Australian</em> won’t print

The Newspoll numbers The Australian won’t print

The Australian appears to have decided to not publish the results of an opinion poll on voting intention in the wake of last week's outlier that had Malcolm Turnbull gaining ground on Kevin Rudd.