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Topic: polling
The Coalition doesn’t speak for Australia

The Coalition doesn’t speak for Australia

Crikey readers on climate change, political polling and Kerry Stokes' Seven.

No better illustration of a ‘Canberra bubble’ than Newspoll silliness

No better illustration of a ‘Canberra bubble’ than Newspoll silliness

Australian polls aren't just unreliable — the majority of voters pay little attention to politics, so claims that sentiment shifts from week to week are impossible to prove.

Polling was flawed before 2019

Polling was flawed before 2019

Crikey on the issues facing modern polling and the failures of Australian infrastructure.

The great polling failure: why the ‘unloseable election’ was always lost

The great polling failure: why the ‘unloseable election’ was always lost

Every major pollster in the country backed the wrong horse at the election. Why did they all get it so wrong, and how do we know if we can trust them again?

Have pollsters created an ‘alternate universe’? 

Have pollsters created an ‘alternate universe’? 

The power of polling has been used to shape political narratives and bring down prime ministers — but what does it mean now that we know the foundations are more flimsy than anyone thought? 

Political polling is having an existential crisis

Political polling is having an existential crisis

Pollsters now face a serious challenge in restoring their credibility, and there is no indication this can be accomplished with existing methods.

Can we still trust political polling?

Can we still trust political polling?

In the wake of a shock election result, the public have been left wondering how the polls got it so wrong — and if we can rely on them in the future.

Echoes of ‘Howard’s battlers’ put Morrison ahead in polls

Echoes of ‘Howard’s battlers’ put Morrison ahead in polls

This was far from a status quo result, but rather some major swings in suburbs and regional areas that cancelled each other out.

Coalition recovery is too little, too late

Coalition recovery is too little, too late

It would take something special for the Coalition to win it from here. Still, the fog of war is thick enough that the full range of possibilities needs to be countenanced.

Can the bookies tell us who will be the next prime minister?

Can the bookies tell us who will be the next prime minister?

Some pundits swear by the idea the betting markets are a stronger indicator of an upcoming election's outcome than any polling. But how does it work?