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Topic: polling trends
Poll Bludger: why do polls sometimes get it so wrong?

Poll Bludger: why do polls sometimes get it so wrong?

Are polls actually any good at all at predicting election results?

Poll Bludger: it ain’t over yet for Abbott

Poll Bludger: it ain’t over yet for Abbott

Previous governments have recovered from polls as bad as Abbott's.

Poll Bludger: calm down, Murdoch conspiracy theorists

Poll Bludger: calm down, Murdoch conspiracy theorists

Yes, Newspoll has recorded a fall in popularity for Labor. But don't be too quick to blame Rupert Murdoch -- the numbers tell a clearer story if you look a bit more closely.

Labor’s lead stretches to 53-47 as budget gloom lingers

Labor’s lead stretches to 53-47 as budget gloom lingers

It looked for a while like the Coalition's numbers were going to turn around, but this week's BludgerTrack shows Labor still ahead.

Essential: voters down on privatisation and the unemployed

Essential: voters down on privatisation and the unemployed

Voters remain deeply opposed to any privatisation, even of things they've never heard of, this week's Essential Report shows. And the view that the Newstart payment is too low isn't widely shared by voters.

The verdict is in on pollsters: Coalition bias, electorate polls fail

The verdict is in on pollsters: Coalition bias, electorate polls fail

The final results are in on the 2013 federal election -- so which pollster was closest to the mark? Our crack analyst crunches the numbers to produce some surprising results.

Essential: and the final result is … up to Clive’s voters

Essential: and the final result is … up to Clive’s voters

Tony Abbott's majority will depend on which was minor party voters direct their preferences, a state-by-state polling breakdown suggests.

Essential: Coalition to win, but a late surge to the minors

Essential: Coalition to win, but a late surge to the minors

Essential's last pre-election poll shows Tony Abbott poised for a comfortable win, but his chances of a landslide may have been cruelled by the likes of the Palmer Party.

Essential: Greens surge keeps the major parties deadlocked

Essential: Greens surge keeps the major parties deadlocked

An unexpected surge to the Greens has seen Labor and the Coalition's primary vote drop, leaving the election outcome in the balance.

Essential: voters want aid, arts spending cut to curtail debt

Essential: voters want aid, arts spending cut to curtail debt

The Coalition is onto something on its economic pitch to voters -- they are worried about national debt, an Essential poll has found, and they do want spending cut to address it.