The Coalition have taken aim at Labor, projecting a huge tax hike. But putting this forward as an argument conveniently ignores the bigger issues with Australian taxation.
An ignorant media is attacking the government over the NDIS, reinforcing perceptions the Coalition doesn't care about people with disabilities.
Mathias Cormann has been crucial to the return to surplus forecast for next year. But so too has the Liberal Party's addiction to taxing Australians.
Tonight's budget is a major piece of political theatre for the government, but it doesn't have a lot to do with fiscal policy or the economy.
Contrary to what you read in the press, voters don't shift dramatically every fortnight in their support for political parties. That requires something genuinely massive, which is what Josh Frydenberg will need to produce on Tuesday.
The Reserve Bank has confirmed that income taxes have risen far more quickly than usual in recent years, demonstrating the Coalition's claim to being the big tax party of Australian politics.
The economy will be reliant on health spending for much of its jobs and wages growth over the next couple of years — and the government is increasing it.
This year's budget update sees extra revenue taking us back to surplus quicker, but workers are still stuck with wages that won't budge.
Scott Morrison's effort to relaunch himself yesterday was an attempt to paper over major structural flaws in his government.
With continuing jobs growth and a commodity price boom, a Turnbull government would have been well-placed to go to the polls and win an unlikely victory.