Topic archives: poll bludger

Poll Bludger: current state of play for the March 3 Tassie election

January 29, 2018 3

In Australia's poorest state, Labor represents a default setting that voters gravitate back to after their infrequent acts of rebellion.

Poll Bludger: what just happened in Bennelong?

December 18, 2017 19

Both sides are busy spinning the weekend's byelection result, but the Liberals' claim to bragging rights is outwardly more compelling.

Poll Bludger: Keneally the underdog tries to take a bite out of Alexander

December 15, 2017 8

A win for Kristina Keneally tomorrow is a big ask -- but not without precedent.

Poll Bludger: Joyce’s resounding byelection win is a particular victory for a particular man

December 4, 2017 17

Ultimately, the most satisfying explanations for the result are those that are most specific to the circumstances of the electorate and of Barnaby Joyce personally.

Poll Bludger: Qld election results are disappointing for basically everyone

November 27, 2017 10

Yes, even Pauline Hanson.

Poll Bludger: Greens inner-urban insurgency claims another Labor stronghold

November 20, 2017 15

With the Greens now laying claim to three state lower house seats in both New South Wales and Victoria, the next question is whether they can gain a seat in the Queensland parliament on Saturday.

Poll Bludger: the surprising patterns in marriage equality voting behaviour

November 15, 2017 31

The marriage equality result is more intriguing for the ways it has failed to play to the culture war script.

The No. 1 person keeping Malcolm Turnbull in The Lodge is … Bill Shorten

September 18, 2017 37

For Shorten, voters appear reluctant to attribute any qualities to him at all, either good or bad.

Poll Bludger: are the Greens cooked?

July 24, 2017 15

The Greens can be confident they have their seats in Victoria and Tasmania locked down for years to come. But every other state is a crapshoot from here.

Poll Bludger: section 44 is a sticky wicket in need of reform

July 19, 2017 9

Another one bites the dust. Unfairly, as it turns out.