Topic archives: poll bludger

Poll Bludger: pokies claim more victims as the Liberals make late gains in Tasmania

March 2, 2018 9

The Tasmanian Liberals have gained ground in the lead up to tomorrow's state election, but there are still a few battlegrounds that could see the tide turn.

Poll Bludger: current state of play for the March 3 Tassie election

January 29, 2018 3

In Australia's poorest state, Labor represents a default setting that voters gravitate back to after their infrequent acts of rebellion.

Poll Bludger: what just happened in Bennelong?

December 18, 2017 19

Both sides are busy spinning the weekend's byelection result, but the Liberals' claim to bragging rights is outwardly more compelling.

Poll Bludger: Keneally the underdog tries to take a bite out of Alexander

December 15, 2017 8

A win for Kristina Keneally tomorrow is a big ask -- but not without precedent.

Poll Bludger: Joyce’s resounding byelection win is a particular victory for a particular man

December 4, 2017 17

Ultimately, the most satisfying explanations for the result are those that are most specific to the circumstances of the electorate and of Barnaby Joyce personally.

Poll Bludger: Qld election results are disappointing for basically everyone

November 27, 2017 10

Yes, even Pauline Hanson.

Poll Bludger: Greens inner-urban insurgency claims another Labor stronghold

November 20, 2017 15

With the Greens now laying claim to three state lower house seats in both New South Wales and Victoria, the next question is whether they can gain a seat in the Queensland parliament on Saturday.

Poll Bludger: the surprising patterns in marriage equality voting behaviour

November 15, 2017 31

The marriage equality result is more intriguing for the ways it has failed to play to the culture war script.

The No. 1 person keeping Malcolm Turnbull in The Lodge is … Bill Shorten

September 18, 2017 37

For Shorten, voters appear reluctant to attribute any qualities to him at all, either good or bad.

Poll Bludger: are the Greens cooked?

July 24, 2017 15

The Greens can be confident they have their seats in Victoria and Tasmania locked down for years to come. But every other state is a crapshoot from here.

Poll Bludger: section 44 is a sticky wicket in need of reform

July 19, 2017 9

Another one bites the dust. Unfairly, as it turns out.

Poll Bludger: voters return in droves to the One Nation bandwagon

June 19, 2017 7

After all the controversy of the past couple of months, there has been a curious resurgence in support for Pauline Hanson's One Nation.

Poll Bludger: why Qld Labor backed Adani’s coal mine despite voter backlash

June 7, 2017 10

Adani's wildly controversial $16.5 billion Carmichael coal mine project in central Queensland is the latest in a long line of issues putting Labor at risk of dividing two key supporter bases.

Poll Bludger: do swinging voters even pay attention to the budget?

May 17, 2017 1

And is the fabled "post-budget bounce" a real thing?

Poll Bludger: despite shifting public attitudes on abortion, criminalisation remains in Qld, NSW

May 15, 2017 11

To the extent that abortion’s technical status as a criminal offence remains, it's clearly the case that the law is running behind public opinion.

Credlin is wrong: Tony Abbott was not more popular with women than Turnbull

May 5, 2017 5

Despite Peta Credlin's claims, Tony Abbott's "woman problem" was real. And Turnbull is, on the whole, more popular with female voters.

Poll Bludger: One Nation legal woes spell electoral trouble for LNP

May 1, 2017 4

The prospect of a One Nation crossbench delivering power to the LNP in Queensland is rapidly diminishing.

Poll Bludger: the accidental overnight success of Cory Bernardi

April 26, 2017 14

Cory Bernardi was headed for electoral disaster with his one-man Australian Conservative band. But with the help of Family First, he could become a force to be reckoned with.

Poll Bludger: who is Australia’s most popular crossbencher?

April 24, 2017 6

Hinch? Lambie? It couldn't be Bernardi, could it ...?

Poll Bludger: WA Libs’ downfall could eventually topple federal MPs

April 13, 2017 4

Politics is a game of dominoes.