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Political polling is having an existential crisis

Political polling is having an existential crisis

Pollsters now face a serious challenge in restoring their credibility, and there is no indication this can be accomplished with existing methods.

Can we still trust political polling?

Can we still trust political polling?

In the wake of a shock election result, the public have been left wondering how the polls got it so wrong — and if we can rely on them in the future.

Coalition recovery is too little, too late

Coalition recovery is too little, too late

It would take something special for the Coalition to win it from here. Still, the fog of war is thick enough that the full range of possibilities needs to be countenanced.

The five final steps to a Labor victory

The five final steps to a Labor victory

A veteran ALP pollster has some advice for Bill Shorten: you need a message if you want to cut through to swing voters before Saturday.

Palmer's preference deal with the Libs is important for two reasons

Palmer's preference deal with the Libs is important for two reasons

Certainly the deal is of use to Palmer in his bid for a Queensland Senate seat. But that's not all.

Don't get too excited about Clive Palmer — yet

Don't get too excited about Clive Palmer — yet

Suddenly Clive Palmer has displaced Pauline Hanson as the tribune of discontented Queensland voters. The polling basis for that is thin indeed — but Palmer's technique is a last-minute ad blitz that has shifted votes before and could do it again.

The smart money points to a Labor win, but Libs retain some hope

The smart money points to a Labor win, but Libs retain some hope

To get into a position where it is even able to cling to minority government, the Coalition will need to hack a path through seats currently held by Labor.

No, this isn't Morrison's 'Tampa moment'

No, this isn't Morrison's 'Tampa moment'

It's going to take a lot more than the goings-on of the "Canberra bubble" to transform the medivac loss to the Coalition's advantage come election time.

Why is everyone pitching to Queensland this election?

Why is everyone pitching to Queensland this election?

It's an election year and both Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten are heading to Queensland. But why?

How the states will shape a landslide Coalition loss

How the states will shape a landslide Coalition loss

Internal polling has indicated a wipeout loss for the Coalition in the upcoming federal election. But is it all doom and gloom for the government?