Pollsters now face a serious challenge in restoring their credibility, and there is no indication this can be accomplished with existing methods.
In the wake of a shock election result, the public have been left wondering how the polls got it so wrong — and if we can rely on them in the future.
It would take something special for the Coalition to win it from here. Still, the fog of war is thick enough that the full range of possibilities needs to be countenanced.
A veteran ALP pollster has some advice for Bill Shorten: you need a message if you want to cut through to swing voters before Saturday.
Certainly the deal is of use to Palmer in his bid for a Queensland Senate seat. But that's not all.
Suddenly Clive Palmer has displaced Pauline Hanson as the tribune of discontented Queensland voters. The polling basis for that is thin indeed — but Palmer's technique is a last-minute ad blitz that has shifted votes before and could do it again.
To get into a position where it is even able to cling to minority government, the Coalition will need to hack a path through seats currently held by Labor.
It's going to take a lot more than the goings-on of the "Canberra bubble" to transform the medivac loss to the Coalition's advantage come election time.
It's an election year and both Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten are heading to Queensland. But why?