July 2, 2013
Now that politics has reset itself, it’s worth looking at the polls since the change of PM — the results of which can pretty much be described as consensus … Rudd poll boost, ALP becomes competitive, etc. But there’s something else worth talking about: what’s going on underneath these topline national results. Unless one side […]
July 2, 2013
Headlines trumpeting national two-party preferred polling results are clouding the dynamics and reality of what is happening at the state level, where the numbers really matter, writes Possum Comitatus.
April 23, 2013
Let’s kick the door down on the secrecy and see how a modern campaign actually runs — the research involved, the technology, the analysis, the logistics of the ground game and the capabilities that get brought to the table when all of these things become integrated. Let’s look at the anatomy of a modern campaign […]
April 23, 2013
Want to know how secret internal polling is conducted and put to use? Possum Comitatus kicks the door down, exposing how a modern politician campaign actually runs.
April 12, 2013
The largest scientific political poll undertaken in Australian history has just been released. Over the next week or so, we’ll examine it. It was commissioned by Together — Queensland’s public sector union (caveat: my employer) — and undertaken by ReachTEL. The sample size was 36,323 conducted across all 89 Queensland electorates. The poll asked the […]
April 11, 2013
Possum Comitatus fires up his Pollytics machine to analyse data and breakdowns from the largest political poll ever conducted in Australia, focusing on privatisation and Queensland.
November 13, 2012
The new polling trends — taken before the release of the latest Newspoll figures today — come in with the Labor recovery in the headline two-party preferred breaking the 48-point barrier for the first time since February 2011. While the carbon tax is often described as the single driver for the government’s recovery in public […]
November 11, 2012
Possum Comitatus looks at the latest polling trends, timing issues of the ALP's carbon tax recovery and analysis of how most of Australia’s polling and political commentary is based on random numbers.
October 1, 2012
There is extraordinary growth in the relationship between perceptions of the prime minister and the electoral fortunes of the governments they lead. It’s a statistical analysis of our new primary dynamic. We all know there’s a relationship between the vote a government receives in the polls and the satisfaction with the prime minister of the […]
September 29, 2012
How does a prime minister's popularity affect the governments they lead? Possum Comitatus explores growth in the relationship between perceptions of prime minister's and their party's electoral fortunes.
July 3, 2012
New governments are always the last to realise that the only thing new about governance and public policy happens to be them.
June 12, 2012
What do Australians believe about the economy? What do we believe the role is for government in our society and its economy today?
June 6, 2012
If you’re wondering what the hell is going on lately with the polls being all over the shop, the time is ripe to run our trend measures to get a better grip on it all.
February 9, 2012
As we all get reacquainted with the madness that is the first week of the new political season, the time is ripe to do a bit of a comprehensive rundown about the actual state of play of our political polling. We’ll start off looking at the trends and finish with an election simulation for the […]
December 9, 2011
“Australian exceptionalism” … let that phrase roll off your tongue. Now stop laughing for a moment if you can. There’s something about that phrase that just doesn’t sit right with us. We’re not only unaccustomed to thinking about ourselves that way, but for many it’s a concept that is one part distasteful to three parts utterly […]
November 9, 2011
We can never really tell if any pollster delivers results that are actually higher or lower for a party than other pollsters, because we just don’t have elections every week to determine the true state of public opinion.
October 6, 2011 150
If you want to improve the debate in Australia, if you want real public debate in this country rather than the dismal sloganeering of the unhinged -- this tax forum is a marvelous template.
September 29, 2011
With a bag of polling data bursting at the seams, it’s that time of year again where we not only update our Pollytrend metrics.
August 16, 2011
With the Parliament set to start its spring sitting session today, it might be worth taking a look at the current state of play on the polling trends using our Pollytrend system.
July 5, 2011
This quarter has seen everything move towards the Coalition.