William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.


Bye-bye Brendan: a by-election for Bradfield

August 25, 2009

With the departure of Brendan Nelson, the seat of Bradfield is headed for a by-election. William Bowe wraps all the speculation in the press and blogosphere about likely candidates to take his place.

Newspoll: Turnbull makes small gains

August 25, 2009

The latest Newspoll has Labor's lead at 55-45, down from 57-43 at the previous two polls, and Malcolm Turnbull's approval rating up four points to 30%.

Morgan: 58-42

August 21, 2009

The last fortnight’s face-to-face Morgan polling has Labor’s two-party lead down from 60.5-39.5 to 58-42, while Labor's primary vote is down three to 47.5 per cent.

Newspoll: 56-44 to Labor in Victoria

August 20, 2009

The latest bi-monthly Newspoll survey of Victorian state voting intention has Labor maintaining its formidable 56-44 lead on two-party preferred, though John Brumby's approval rating is down two points.

Tasmanian state Labor forfeit in by-election first

August 3, 2009

Is forfeiting an election less embarassing than a defeat? Obviously the Tasmanian Labor party thought so, since they didn't contest their own seat at the weekend's by-election.

Galaxy: 59-41 to LNP in QLD

August 3, 2009

Following a horror week for the Queensland government, a Galaxy survey shows a further plunge in support for QLD Labor, the LNP’s two-party lead opening up to 59-41.

Morgan: half-point drop for ALP

July 27, 2009

Little change on the latest Morgan face-to-face poll, coming in at 57.5-42.5 -- a half-point drop for Labor. Plus: change is afoot in WA's lower house, Peter Dutton gets a raw deal in QLD boundary changes, and more news from William Bowe.

Essential Research: small slip for Labor

July 21, 2009

The latest weekly Essential Research survey has Labor’s two-party lead down from 57-43 to 56-44. Poll Bludger has the numbers.

Morgan: Labor up after Utegate

July 13, 2009

The first Roy Morgan face-to-face poll to catch the full force of the OzCar aftermath shows Labor’s two-party lead up from 55-45 to 58-42, says William Bowe.

Liberals take challenge to Labor in Tasmania

July 1, 2009

On August 1, the Libs are contesting the Pembroke by-election in Tasmania with a quality candidate. A minor event perhaps, but a fascinating test of strength for Premier Bartlett, says William Bowe.