William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.


Newspoll: ALP bounces back

November 17, 2009

The eagerly awaited Newspoll results are in: Labor bouncing from last fortnight's 52-48 quirk to 56-44. Meanwhile, the latest Essential report has lurched from 59-41 to 55-45, the lowest lead for Labor so far.

ALP takes another hit in the polls — sort of

November 16, 2009

Maybe That Newspoll wasn't an outlier after all: the latest Morgan poll has shown a 5-point drop to the ALP. But it was a small sample size. And a new Newspoll of QLD marginals shows a strong swing to the party. What does it all mean? Our heads hurt.

Newspoll: ??-??

November 11, 2009

After last week's rogue Newspoll result, The Oz sent its pollster out into the field again over the weekend for an eagerly anticipated follow-up survey. Too bad they haven't shared the results with the rest of Australia. Gary Morgan is unimpressed.

Rudd down (slightly), but far from out

November 9, 2009

The monthly Nielsen poll further proves reports of the ALP's death in the polls have been slightly exaggerated: Labor's two-party lead down just slightly to 56-44, while Kevin Rudd's approval rating is down three points and his disapproval is up five.

Newspoll: Labor’s lead slumps

November 2, 2009

Labor's two-party preferred lead has dropped from 59-41 to 52-48 in the latest Newspoll, their smallest lead in almost two years.

All smiles and sunshine for VIC Labor

All smiles and sunshine for VIC Labor

November 2, 2009

The latest Victorian state Newspoll finds the decade-old Labor government going from strength to strength. Labor’s two-party lead is at 57-43. Is this the end for Ted Bailleu? asks William Bowe.

Poll Bludger: Labor’s mega-lead remains impenetrable

October 27, 2009

The latest Essential Research poll shows Labor's mega-lead remaining imprevious to anything domestic or international push or pull factors might throw at it, says William Bowe.

Poll Bludger: NSW redraw redrawn

October 25, 2009

William Bowe looks at the redistribution of New South Wales' federal election boundaries.

Boat people can’t sink the ALP

October 20, 2009

This week's Newspoll shows Labor's lead widening to a two-party preferred vote of 59-41, despite the government's recent discomfort over boat arrivals, reports William Bowe.

A tale of two polls

October 12, 2009

A Morgan poll on Friday had Joe Hockey leading Malcolm Turnbull as voters' preferred Liberal leader 30% to 21%, but today's Newspoll has Turnbull back in the lead. Did the drama of last week produce a move to Turnbull -- or away from Hockey? asks William Bowe.