William Bowe
Editor of The Poll Bludger @PollBludger
William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.
Relatively good news for Labor from Newspoll, which shows the Coalition’s eight point two-party preferred lead cut to four, reports William Bowe.
The latest Essential Research is in, with one particular graph showing when voters decided who they were voting for in last year's election, reports William Bowe.
The last remaining uncertainty about the composition of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly was resolved with a full preference distribution delivering Balmain to the Greens.
There is little about NSW Labor at present that offers cause for optimism about its regenerative capacities.
There remains an assumption that things can't possibly be as bad for Labor as some of the polls have predicted, and that a latent sympathy vote awaits to be absorbed by them. I suspect this is a misreading of the public mood.
William Bowe wraps the latest news and updates -- from the latest Newspoll to where Greens preferences will be going -- from the upcoming NSW election.
Poll Bludger looks at the slow-motion train wreck that is the NSW state election campaign.
Polls point to an Illawarra-wide swing against Labor of 21% from a margin of error of about 2.2%.
The latest polls point to an Illawarra-wide swing against Labor of 21% from a margin of error of about 2.2%. William Bowe introduces his New South Wales election guide, covering five electorates, from Heathcote to Kiama.
The bookies are offering $1.03 on a Coalition win. If you have a lazy ten grand lying around, think of it as $300 of free money.
