William Bowe
Editor of The Poll Bludger @PollBludger
William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.
Even on current polling Labor could retain some control of the Senate with the help of the Greens in the balance of power position, exclusive new polling from Essential Research reveals.
Upper house preference tickets for the Western Australian state election were lodged yesterday. Labor announced on Sunday it will direct preferences to the Liberals ahead of the Nationals in Warren-Blackwood, Central Wheatbelt, Eyre, North West Central, Geraldton and Kimberley. What impact will it have? Labor voters’ compliance with how-to-vote cards ranges from the mid-20s to the […]
Created at federation, the electorate of Bendigo currently extends from the city itself south to Castlemaine and the Macedon Ranges around Woodend, also taking in smaller rural centres to the west and north. The redistribution to take effect at the next election has added the Macedon Ranges area from McEwen in the electorate’s south-east, and […]
The north-eastern Adelaide seat of Makin extends from Pooraka near the city to Tea Tree Gully and Greenwith at the limits of the metropolitan area. Labor is especially strong in the areas nearer the city, from Walkley Heights north to Salibsury East, beyond which are generally newer suburbs with more mortgage payers and families, who […]
Two significant milestones have been reached on the path to Western Australia’s March 9 state election, the first to be held under the new regime of fixed terms. The first was the issue of the writs by the Governor on Wednesday, which regardless of what anyone else might tell you marks the formal commencement of […]
Famously held by Gough Whitlam throughout a parliamentary career lasting from 1952 to 1978, the south-western Sydney seat of Werriwa has been in Labor hands since 1931. However, it is now considered endangered for the first time in living memory after the margin was cut from 15.1% to 6.8% in 2010, followed by the devastating […]
That we're going to an election in September was no surprise. But the date doesn't make Julia Gillard's road to retaining government any easier. Crikey's poll cruncher looks at what she has to do to hold on.
Despite an avalanche of controversy, polling indicates Mal Brough will have little trouble winning the Sunshine Coast seat of Fisher from its equally contentious incumbent, Peter Slipper, writes William Bowe.
Newspoll’s long awaited October-December result of state voting intention in Western Australia shows Colin Barnett’s government on track for a landslide win at the election to be held on March 9. The Liberal-National lead on two-party preferred is 58-42, up a point on an already surprisingly robust lead for July-September, from primary votes of 43% […]
The big one -- the federal election -- will occur later this year, and Western Australia will also head to the polls. Crikey's elections guru outlines the year ahead and makes some guesses on the big date.
