William Bowe
Editor of The Poll Bludger @PollBludger
William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.
Queensland stands as a strong prospect for delivering a four Right, two Left result of the kind that might fundamentally alter the balance of power in the Senate, writes William Bowe.
William Bowe takes a look at John Howard's old electorate in the blue-ribbon Liberal heartland.
New South Wales has consistently produced conventional results since the era of six-seat half-Senate elections began in 1990. Will things change this time?
The Coalition is gearing up for a big fight to keep two formerly safe region seats, writes William Bowes.
The Coalition is still ahead, but the margin between them and Labor is narrowing.
Group voting tickets for the Senate have been published, revealing some odd bedfellows when it comes to preferences. The deals could swing the upper house to the Right under a Tony Abbott government.
It’s clear that the evenly matched polling that followed the return of Kevin Rudd, which was starting to look alarmingly sticky from a Coalition perspective, has unpeeled over the past fortnight. Close observation suggests this has not entirely been a phenomenon of the election campaign, as the Coalition had already pulled ahead over the weekend […]
Two seats which Labor might hope to gain if they can recover from historically poor results in their respective states in 2010.
Labor still faces its Everest to win enough seats to hold government. Crikey's elections guru crunches the numbers for both sides to reveal the key seats required for victory.
