William Bowe
Editor of The Poll Bludger @PollBludger
William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.
The Tasmanian Liberals look set to win the state government at the March poll -- but could Clive Palmer's party cause an upset? Crikey's polling analyst crunches the numbers.
Three state elections and some important byelections are likely to test voters' loyalty to the newly minted Abbott government. Crikey's resident polling analyst previews the electoral year.
An inquiry into how the AEC managed to lose critical votes has laid the blame squarely at the feet of the Electoral Commissioner. But there is plenty to go around.
The final results are in on the 2013 federal election -- so which pollster was closest to the mark? Our crack analyst crunches the numbers to produce some surprising results.
Nielsen’s first poll since the election delivers a rude shock for the Abbott government, showing Labor with an election-winning lead and Bill Shorten travelling 20 points better on net approval than Tony Abbott.
It's likely that the Coalition will hold a near-clean sweep of state governments next year. Crikey hits the archives to ask if this will pose a problem for Tony Abbott.
Kevin Rudd’s announcement that he will resign from Parliament at the end of the week provides the occasion for a) renewed debate about his political legacy, which I will leave to others to pursue (in some cases for the rest of your lives), and b) the breaking of the longest federal byelection drought since 1951. […]
The High Court is almost certainly going to call for a fresh election in WA. That means a fresh set of candidates -- and Julian Assange could have another tilt at the Senate.
There may be just one or two votes between two of the minor parties in the Western Australian Senate election, so voters will be heading back to the polls. But that doesn't mean the system is broken.
With 1375 votes missing, will Western Australians be forced back to the polls over the disputed Senate result? The courts will decide, but our resident psephologist says it could be avoided.
