William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.

Latest

Judgement Day: how Mathias Cormann’s power is growing in WA

July 14, 2017 5

The odds-on favourite to replace retiring senator Chris Back is Slade Brockman, who used to work for Mathias Cormann.

New poll puts the Coalition within margin of error, but is it reliable?

July 3, 2017 3

A new poll has delivered some much-needed good news for the Turnbull government -- but the Prime Minister shouldn't take it to the bank just yet.

Poll Bludger: census results deliver electoral omen of doom for Turnbull

June 28, 2017 3

The census figures highlight a number of worrying demographic trends for the Coalition.

Poll Bludger: voters return in droves to the One Nation bandwagon

June 19, 2017 7

After all the controversy of the past couple of months, there has been a curious resurgence in support for Pauline Hanson's One Nation.

Poll Bludger: intergenerational war is the new class conflict in the UK

June 14, 2017 10

It's no longer so much a matter of rich versus poor, as old versus young, as the voting patterns from the recent UK general election suggest.

Poll Bludger: why Qld Labor backed Adani’s coal mine despite voter backlash

June 7, 2017 10

Adani's wildly controversial $16.5 billion Carmichael coal mine project in central Queensland is the latest in a long line of issues putting Labor at risk of dividing two key supporter bases.

Poll Bludger: do the young love Corbyn enough to actually vote?

June 2, 2017 5

The latest polls actually have Labour within cooee of the Tories, thanks to a huge surge in support among young people for Jeremy Corbyn's party. But will the young actually turn out and vote?

Poll Bludger: do swinging voters even pay attention to the budget?

May 17, 2017 1

And is the fabled "post-budget bounce" a real thing?

Poll Bludger: despite shifting public attitudes on abortion, criminalisation remains in Qld, NSW

May 15, 2017 11

To the extent that abortion’s technical status as a criminal offence remains, it's clearly the case that the law is running behind public opinion.

Poll Bludger: why tonight will look suspiciously like an election budget

May 9, 2017 2

The next federal election is two years away, but Malcolm Turnbull has a pretty good incentive to turn around his dismal Newspoll figures right now with a kinder, gentler budget.

Credlin is wrong: Tony Abbott was not more popular with women than Turnbull

May 5, 2017 5

Despite Peta Credlin's claims, Tony Abbott's "woman problem" was real. And Turnbull is, on the whole, more popular with female voters.

Poll Bludger: One Nation legal woes spell electoral trouble for LNP

May 1, 2017 4

The prospect of a One Nation crossbench delivering power to the LNP in Queensland is rapidly diminishing.

Poll Bludger: the accidental overnight success of Cory Bernardi

April 26, 2017 14

Cory Bernardi was headed for electoral disaster with his one-man Australian Conservative band. But with the help of Family First, he could become a force to be reckoned with.

Poll Bludger: who is Australia’s most popular crossbencher?

April 24, 2017 6

Hinch? Lambie? It couldn't be Bernardi, could it ...?

Poll Bludger: 457 visa changes are naked populism

April 20, 2017 3

Immigration has continued to gain salience as an election issue over the last few terms, even as the sting went out of the boat arrivals issue, and Turnbull knows it.

Poll Bludger: WA Libs’ downfall could eventually topple federal MPs

April 13, 2017 4

Politics is a game of dominoes.

Poll Bludger: NSW voters vent frustrations with Turnbull at state byelections

April 10, 2017 1

Fresh from their drubbing in Western Australia, the Liberals in New South Wales copped primary vote swings that will have the Premier shaking in her boots.

Poll Bludger: will Xenophon bring down the Weatherill government?

March 31, 2017 3

Frances Bedford has resigned from the Labor Party. Should she decide to form an alliance with the Nick Xenophon Team, that will very bad news indeed for South Australian Labor.

Poll Bludger: in spite of itself, One Nation holds sway in WA’s upper house

March 27, 2017 1

After a shambolic campaign, One Nation still holds considerable influence in the WA house of review.

Poll Bludger: Western Australian Liberals in recovery after election drubbing

March 22, 2017 4

The party's 22 elected members now face an uphill battle to stage an electoral comeback.