William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.


Poll Bludger: how Nick Xenophon could end the two-party political system

October 9, 2017 13

Nick Xenophon stands poised to unleash his full powers of disruption at the South Australian election in March.

The No. 1 person keeping Malcolm Turnbull in The Lodge is … Bill Shorten

September 18, 2017 37

For Shorten, voters appear reluctant to attribute any qualities to him at all, either good or bad.

WAxit might be laughable, but the implications for Turnbull are no joke

September 4, 2017 11

The establishment of a party committee to consider ways to pursue "financial independence" is obviously not to be taken seriously. However, WA's GST complaints should be.

Poll Bludger: surge in youth enrolment ahead of plebiscite spells trouble for Turnbull

September 1, 2017 7

An unusual mid-term surge in electoral enrolment that has had a measurable impact on the demographic profile of the prospective voting population.

Section 44: what you need to know (and the Nats should have)

August 18, 2017 13

With six parliamentarians now referred to the High Court, and the PM overly optimistic about his MPs' chances, we run you through what you need to know about the more high-profile dual citizenship debacles.

How the postal plebiscite might skew the vote

August 11, 2017

Conducting the plebiscite through the ABS as a postal vote has a number of worrying consequences. Aside from the challenge to its legality, it may skew the vote in favour of older, more conservative voters, and even, potentially, make voter fraud more likely.

Poll Bludger: is Dan Andrews hurting Shorten’s chances of winning the next election?

August 3, 2017 9

A great convergence has been under way in the four largest states, eliminating a pattern through the last three elections in which Victoria reigned as Labor's strongest state.

Poll Bludger: are the Greens cooked?

July 24, 2017 15

The Greens can be confident they have their seats in Victoria and Tasmania locked down for years to come. But every other state is a crapshoot from here.

Poll Bludger: section 44 is a sticky wicket in need of reform

July 19, 2017 9

Another one bites the dust. Unfairly, as it turns out.

Poll Bludger: who will replace Scott Ludlam?

July 17, 2017 11

A hitherto obscure and low-order candidate has been thrust into the spotlight: Jordon Steele-John, a 22-year-old disability advocate with cerebral palsy.