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William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.

The death of the 'safe Liberal seat'

The death of the 'safe Liberal seat'

The Liberal Party can't afford to take these constituencies for granted anymore. But what does it mean to be a "Liberal" seat now anyway?

Fallout from federal 'muppet show' ruins state Libs in Wagga

Fallout from federal 'muppet show' ruins state Libs in Wagga

Even Liberal MPs have admitted an ample share of the blame, of which there was much to go around, lay at the feet of Scott Morrison's much-invoked "muppet show".

Plotters count the cost of ousting Turnbull

Plotters count the cost of ousting Turnbull

The Liberal leadership spill has proven to be disastrous for polling numbers. What, then, was the point?

Is Dutton popular enough with voters to save the Coalition?

Is Dutton popular enough with voters to save the Coalition?

Malcolm Turnbull may have suffered a massive setback in recent polling. But it had nothing to do with the NEG backflip. And Turnbull is still more popular than any other would-be PM in the Coalition.

Poll Bludger: mixed signals as Coalition tries to turn the ship around

Poll Bludger: mixed signals as Coalition tries to turn the ship around

Where do Malcolm Turnbull and the Liberals really sit after the carnage of Super Saturday? It depends which way you read the polling.

Poll Bludger: Super Saturday and the shape of things to come

Poll Bludger: Super Saturday and the shape of things to come

Labor is obviously happy with its victories in the Super Saturday byelections, but the Liberals aren't the only party with some soul searching to do.

How disastrous could the Super Saturday byelections be for Bill Shorten?

How disastrous could the Super Saturday byelections be for Bill Shorten?

It will say nothing good about Shorten’s electoral appeal if either Longman or Braddon falls to the conservatives tomorrow. However, a bit of perspective never goes astray.

Poll Bludger: so many right wing fringe groups, so few seats

Poll Bludger: so many right wing fringe groups, so few seats

Leyonhjelm, Palmer, Bernardi — with so many right-of-centre micro-parties playing musical chairs, who will end up with a seat once the music stops?

Poll Bludger: it's not all bad news for the Liberals

Poll Bludger: it's not all bad news for the Liberals

After falling to Labor with the rout of Colin Barnett's government in March 2017, the Perth fringe seat of Darling Range has returned to the Liberal fold.

Poll Bludger: explaining the AEC's byelection decision that has Labor furious

Poll Bludger: explaining the AEC's byelection decision that has Labor furious

Few were prepared for the announcement yesterday that five upcoming byelections would be held on the day of Labor's national conference.