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William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.

Senate preferences leave the left in tatters

Senate preferences leave the left in tatters

The Coalition has achieved a voting bloc so solid it may not even have to dirty its hands with One Nation.

Will the WA Liberals' leadership change help them reclaim the state?

Will the WA Liberals' leadership change help them reclaim the state?

New leader Liza Harvey will need to rally the WA Liberal Party if she expects to unseat the Mark McGowan government. Unfortunately, history is not on her side.

Labor's religious problem isn't going away any time soon

Labor's religious problem isn't going away any time soon

The number of religious Australians may be in decline, but it won't help Labor much in the short term.

Political polling is having an existential crisis

Political polling is having an existential crisis

Pollsters now face a serious challenge in restoring their credibility, and there is no indication this can be accomplished with existing methods.

Echoes of 'Howard's battlers' put Morrison ahead in polls

Echoes of 'Howard's battlers' put Morrison ahead in polls

This was far from a status quo result, but rather some major swings in suburbs and regional areas that cancelled each other out.

Coalition recovery is too little, too late

Coalition recovery is too little, too late

It would take something special for the Coalition to win it from here. Still, the fog of war is thick enough that the full range of possibilities needs to be countenanced.

Why federal election polling numbers should have you concerned

Why federal election polling numbers should have you concerned

You may think that unanimity across the results of multiple two-party preferred polls would mean they must be accurate, but you'd be wrong.

Pre-polling disrupts more than just the theatre of election night

Pre-polling disrupts more than just the theatre of election night

Politicians have a strong motivation to cast doubts on the democratic merits of early voting. Unfortunately for them it's here to stay.

The growing importance of Chinese-Australian voters

The growing importance of Chinese-Australian voters

The Chinese-Australian community has significant influence in several key seats.

Palmer's preference deal with the Libs is important for two reasons

Palmer's preference deal with the Libs is important for two reasons

Certainly the deal is of use to Palmer in his bid for a Queensland Senate seat. But that's not all.