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William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.

Echoes of 'Howard's battlers' put Morrison ahead in polls

Echoes of 'Howard's battlers' put Morrison ahead in polls

This was far from a status quo result, but rather some major swings in suburbs and regional areas that cancelled each other out.

Coalition recovery is too little, too late

Coalition recovery is too little, too late

It would take something special for the Coalition to win it from here. Still, the fog of war is thick enough that the full range of possibilities needs to be countenanced.

Why federal election polling numbers should have you concerned

Why federal election polling numbers should have you concerned

You may think that unanimity across the results of multiple two-party preferred polls would mean they must be accurate, but you'd be wrong.

Pre-polling disrupts more than just the theatre of election night

Pre-polling disrupts more than just the theatre of election night

Politicians have a strong motivation to cast doubts on the democratic merits of early voting. Unfortunately for them it's here to stay.

The growing importance of Chinese-Australian voters

The growing importance of Chinese-Australian voters

The Chinese-Australian community has significant influence in several key seats.

Palmer's preference deal with the Libs is important for two reasons

Palmer's preference deal with the Libs is important for two reasons

Certainly the deal is of use to Palmer in his bid for a Queensland Senate seat. But that's not all.

Warringah polling shows that it's lonely being Tony

Warringah polling shows that it's lonely being Tony

Abbott is going full local candidate this time because he's facing a genuine challenger — and the early polling was terrible for him.    

The right's fragmentation problem is causing cracks

The right's fragmentation problem is causing cracks

Divided votes and increased competition — David Leyonhjelm's recent failure may be a bellwether for things to come on May 18.

The smart money points to a Labor win, but Libs retain some hope

The smart money points to a Labor win, but Libs retain some hope

To get into a position where it is even able to cling to minority government, the Coalition will need to hack a path through seats currently held by Labor.

With the NSW election results now in, what comes next?

With the NSW election results now in, what comes next?

Stagnating votes, plot twists, and dogs that failed to bark — an analysis of the weekend's election results.