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We know polls can get it wrong. But how wrong? Could 2022 be a repeat of 2019? Either way, Scott Morrison has an uphill battle ahead.
The latest Newspoll would suggest the Coalition is in dire straits, with Labor leading 56-44 on a two-party preferred vote.
Those numbers make another victory for the Coalition seem unlikely, especially this close to an election. But there’s a general distrust in polling since Donald Trump and Brexit proved them wrong and, closer to home, the 2019 election result.
So just how bad is this pre-election poll compared with others? Could the Morrison government go on to win anyway?
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Reporter @JGanko
Josefine is a general reporter with a particular interest in public policy, law reform and sometimes sport. Josefine started at Crikey while completing degrees in law and public policy at the ANU, where she was an editor at Woroni.
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