The Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison government has had a number of high-profile policy failures. It’s hard to go past climate policy as its most spectacular stuff-up, but superannuation surely has a strong case as well, if the latest data from the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority is anything to go by.

The Abbott government came to office determined to attack industry super funds, or what Abbott called a “gravy train” of “venal” union officials, and support retail super funds controlled by its big bank donors. It set about looking to repeal Labor’s Future of Financial Advice reforms, end the existing system of default superannuation fund choice, impose retail fund-style governance on industry funds and gut the corporate regulator ASIC.

Along the way, it had the Business Council, the Financial Services Council, financial planning organisations and significant sections of the media backing it. Three of the four ministers who had carriage of the superannuation portfolio have been former bank executives.

After six years, however, the extent of the Coalition’s failure is clear. Industry super funds have enjoyed massive growth in funds while retail funds are in decline and self-managed super funds — championed by sections of the media against industry super funds as the growing stench from banking scandals became overpowering — have flatlined.

Between December 2014 and December 2018, industry fund assets grew by over 56%, according to APRA’s quarterly reports, compared to around 14% for retail funds and 28% for SMSFs. While industry funds had a stellar 2018 as royal commission revelations drove members from the likes of AMP to industry funds, their strong growth was notable even before that — they’d grown 46% in the three years to December 2017 compared to 19% for retail funds.

In that context, 2018 was merely an acceleration of existing trends. In 2017, retail funds had grown their assets by less than 8% compared to over 18% for industry funds, which had overtaken the former in overall size of assets. That was before the royal commission revealed the full extent of the rorts indulged in by the big banks and AMP. That saw retail funds shrink by nearly 4% while industry funds grew by 6.7% across 2018.

If the coming election spells the end of the current government, its legacy in superannuation will be one of its most notable failures. The sector it set out to protect has crashed and burned while the sector it sought to wreck has prospered; all of the major reforms the Coalition sought to implement have been defeated.

Indeed, in committing to implement nearly all of the royal commission recommendations, the government finds itself completing unfinished business from the FOFA era that it desperately fought in the days of Julia Gillard. It’s one thing to fail in your own objectives, quite another to reluctantly sign on to completing the work of your opponents.

Part ideology, part irrational malice, the Liberals’ hatred of industry super (even as some of them put their super in industry funds to take advantage of their better performance) was one of the defining characteristics of this period of Coalition government. Perhaps 2018 will mark its end and a reluctant acknowledgement by the Liberals that industry funds are here to stay and perform better than for-profit funds.

That might mean Australia can get on with a superannuation and retirement incomes policy driven by evidence and logic, no matter which side is in power. Is that too much to hope?

Do you think the government will finally change its tune on superannuation? Let us know at [email protected]. Please include your full name if you would like to be considered for publication.