Jun 30, 2016

Poll Bludger: what the Senate will look like after the election

The crossbench looks set to be very slightly more manageable from a Coalition perspective.

William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

As the election campaign enters the home stretch, a consensus is hardening that Malcolm Turnbull will still be in The Lodge on Monday.


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9 thoughts on “Poll Bludger: what the Senate will look like after the election

  1. klewso

    The Artful Lodger for PM?

  2. Marilyn J Shepherd

    I do wish the tea leaf readers would give it a rest, you don’t know how people are going to actually vote.

    1. zut alors

      Indeed. They did a remarkable job predicting the last Queensland state election, Palaszczuk rated no chance.

      1. 1934pc

        How’s the Magic Bean poll going?.

  3. Rourke

    Who do I believe, by Crikey? Tips & Rumours says the Tassie Liberal Richard Colbeck is in an unelectable fifth position, but you have him being elected.
    Also, I would like to see the lunatics at Health Australia Party get up in NSW just to jumpstart a movement for Robson Rotation

  4. Rourke

    Also, great work & an interesting read, thank you

  5. Kevin_T

    Quote: “Then there are those who follow how-to-vote cards — a little less than half in the case of the major parties, around a quarter for the Greens, and a negligible figure for the micro-parties, which lack the mass base of volunteers needed to get cards into the hands of voters on polling day.”

    Wow, I am amazed that that number of people take notice of How-To-Vote cards. I have never taken them or used them, I prefer to vote based on my own preferences for who I think should the representatives in either house. I never considered that more than a few per-cent of voters would accept being told how to vote by someone else, let alone obediently follow their instructions.

  6. AR

    Billy Bowe has been reprehensibly myopic about Greens & Indies since Moses was a lad.
    It’s a new world in which polls are an utter waste of time – the paradigm has changed but not those purporting to “know”.

    1. MAC TEZ

      I hope you’re correct AR because his forecast is damn depressing.

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