Doing the numbers

Les Heimann writes: Re. “Take a seat (or 20): election target has Labor behind the eight-ball” (yesterday). In my view Labor will regain five seats in NSW (including Eden Monaro); seven in Queensland; three in Victoria (including Corangamite); two in Tasmania; one in South Australia and two in Western Australia. That’s 20. Add that the current independents will retain their seats and we could see Tony Windsor back. The arithmetic is razor sharp — I believe the campaign will be crucial and here the mantra approach of the coalition together with attack ads loses impact over time. If Labor keeps on pushing “fair to all, steady as she goes we are a team” this will get them over the line. Also, Queensland should not be discounted as a possible landslide switch to Labor.

Mayne v Andrews

David Hand writes: Re. “Mayne: inside my plan to take down Kevin Andrews” (yesterday). Best of luck Stephen. For what it’s worth, the Liberals in general want moderate representatives but have to accommodate the extreme right to maintain the broad church Menzies talked about. Having an independent with liberal views knock of an arch conservative sounds like a cunning plan to me!

Save up to 50% on a year of Crikey

Choose what you pay, from $99.

Sign up now

I subscribe to Crikey because I believe in a free, open and independent media where news and opinions can be published that I can both agree with and be challenged by.

As a Crikey subscriber I always feel more informed and able to think more critically about issues and current affairs – even when they don’t always reflect my own political viewpoint or lived experience.


Join us and save up to 50%

Subscribe before June 30 and choose what you pay for a year of Crikey. Save up to 50% or, chip in extra and get one of our limited edition Crikey merch packs.

Join Now