One of the tropes of an election is that the closer we get to one, the more likely we are to get some policy announcement about high-speed rail and, what a shock, Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull delivered yesterday.
Turnbull said yesterday the government could use value-capture financing — where the cost of the project can, in part, be met by taking money from the increased value of the land around an infrastructure project — to fund the project to build a railway between Sydney and Melbourne at a cost of up to $114 billion. High-speed rail between Australia’s two largest cities has been a consideration of both sides of politics going back over 30 years, but it has never managed to get off the ground.
The first time high-speed rail came before the federal government in Australia, according to the Parliamentary Library, was in 1984 during the Hawke government, when CSIRO proposed a “Very Fast Train” project with a 350 km/h train to run between Sydney and Melbourne via Canberra. It was going to be based on the French TGV, and was estimated to cost $2.5 billion and generate revenues of $120 million per year. After the costs of the proposal were assessed, it was rejected by then-transport minister Peter Morris.
Despite the government rejection, private industry began looking into the proposal, and, by 1986, a joint venture had been set up, with a $19 million feasibility study undertaken by the group. A proposal was put to government in 1988. In 1989, a Senate committee examined the proposal, but it took until 1991 to recommend additional studies on the project. By this time, one of the joint venture partners, TNT, had lost interest in funding the project.
By the end of 1991, the joint venture folded because the cabinet couldn’t agree on proposals put forward by the joint venture around tax concessions for the companies building the project.
It returned in 1993 in the form of a $2.4 billion proposal for a Sydney-to-Canberra high-speed train. Another working group was established to examine the Speedrail proposal. It carried over into the Howard government era, with four proposals received for the project by 1997. Then-prime minister John Howard chose a consortium of companies including Leighton Contractors, the Commonwealth Bank and Qantas for the estimated $3.5 billion project, which would have taken commuters from Sydney to Canberra in less than 90 minutes. It was eventually killed off in 2000, because the Howard government was concerned it would not be built with no net cost to the government.
A report produced by the Howard government after this estimated that it would cost between $33 and $59 billion to build a high-speed rail system between Melbourne, Canberra, Sydney and Brisbane, depending on the technology used, with the magnetic levitation (or “maglev”) version of the train being the most expensive. It was abandoned due to the cost involved in 2002.
The idea of a high-speed rail between Brisbane, Sydney and Melbourne was resurrected by the Rudd government in 2008, with two reports produced during the Rudd-Gillard era on the project. The first report estimated that the project would cost up to $108 billion, and would take commuters between Sydney and Melbourne, and Sydney and Brisbane in as little as three hours. Tickets between Sydney and Melbourne would be comparable to flight costs — between $99 and $197.
The second-phase report pushed up the cost to $114 billion, and said operations on a Sydney-to-Canberra line would not commence until 2035, with lines between Canberra and Melbourne not running until 2040. It would carry around 84 million passengers a year, and there would be a total of 19 stations between Melbourne and Brisbane. After the release of this report in April 2013, the Gillard government established the High Speed Rail Advisory Group to advise the public on the findings of the second report. This group was scrapped by the Abbott government after it was elected in September 2013.
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In response to yesterday’s announcement, Labor’s transport spokesperson Anthony Albanese flagged that Labor would now seek to introduce legislation re-establishing the advisory body to see if the Turnbull government was committed to the policy, and was willing to put up investment to get the planning up and running.