There is something to be said for the position of hawks like Tony Blair, John McCain and the current American military leadership, who evidently believe that combat troops will be able to destroy Islamic State forces in the Middle East. Such a venture would simply repeat the staggering historical error of 2003 — complete with terrorist attacks in Western countries — but at least their position recognises that the current campaign against IS isn’t working and won’t work.
Meanwhile, Barack Obama and dutiful allies like Tony Abbott are persisting with the delusion that an air campaign and some more training of the Iraqi Army will inspire Iraqi forces to fight back and reverse the vast gains of IS.
This is a country that the United States occupied for eight years, where it established a client government and trained and equipped an army from the ground up. And still, that army proved wholly unequal to the challenge of IS. Who seriously thinks that a little more training and some more airstrikes are going to make a serious dent on IS, especially when the relentless demonisation of IS by Western governments has turned its members into the rock stars of Islamic extremism?
And who seriously thinks there is a coherent strategy behind the goal of “destroying and degrading” IS, even if that could be achieved? What about the Iraqi Shia militias that are using the war against IS as cover to exterminate Sunnis? What about Kurdish separatism and the visceral loathing it inspires within the Turkish government, which until recently preferred to aid IS rather than the Kurds fighting it? What about the future of Syria, once we have disposed of the almost childlike belief that a moderate rebel force can be assisted into power there?
Australia should not be considering sending yet more soldiers into this quagmire until we have some clear answers to all of those questions.
9 thoughts on “Crikey says: sending more troops into Iraq a doomed venture”
klewso
November 12, 2014 at 2:08 pmWho’s directing this movie….? We’re not supposed to think about things like that.
ianjohnno
November 12, 2014 at 2:10 pmHope springs infernal in their warrior breasts.
Norman Hanscombe
November 12, 2014 at 3:00 pmIf only one could still hope for more posters with an adequate background for understanding the complexities of issues such as the Middle East Quagmires.
CML
November 12, 2014 at 3:08 pmAgree with your editorial, Crikey.
This repeat Iraqi ‘war’ was doomed from the start. Didn’t they learn ANYTHING from the previous missions?
Why don’t we just leave the Middle East to sort out its own problems? That way we would be much safer in the West than on the path we are currently following!
The Pav
November 12, 2014 at 3:13 pmDEar Norman
Obviously you haven’t learnt the lesson of the Battle of al Amara in 1916
25,000 British tropps lost and 16,000 taken prisoner few of whom survived the ordeal (they were mainly Indian so that’s all right eh?)
The lesson of history I’ve learnt is that we should stay the smeg out of the place.
Norman Hanscombe
November 12, 2014 at 3:23 pmThe Pav, having had the good fortune to obtain a reasonably sound education, I don’t make trite assertions attempting to “explain” complex international issues via a reference to one obscure siege.
But if that’s how you need to construct your “arguments”, it would be unkind of me to ask more.
klewso
November 12, 2014 at 3:40 pmRule 1 on The Hanster Wheel? DFTT.
Jim Catt
November 12, 2014 at 3:59 pmI agree with your editorial and would add the following. The US (and partners) have been sending the military to the greater Middle East for as long as I can remember – under every president from Carter to Obama.
And, with the possible exception of the mission to kill Bin Laden, not one of these interventions has substantially achieved its political purpose.
The old adage about the definition of insanity being doing the same thing again and again and expecting a different result springs to mind!
AR
November 13, 2014 at 6:53 amBefore there is debate about what to do, surely the first question is why?
What would the success look like that could lead to the next step of commitment of blood & treasure?