United States

Oct 23, 2014

Rundle: Democrats to lose the Senate, but Hillary’s waiting in the wings

The United States midterm elections are nearing, and it looks like it's going to be war between Congress and the White House for the next two years. But that might be just fine with Hillary.

Guy Rundle — Correspondent-at-large

Guy Rundle

Correspondent-at-large

With two weeks to go until the 2014 United States midterm elections  — although the advent of extended voting makes that a quasi-fictional deadline — it would appear to be curtains for the Democratic majority in the Senate. Although there is some movement their way in Republican seats, some of which is due to ‘”independents” — i.e. Republicans who think the party is now too crazy for them — the key seats that the Democrats need to hold appear lost, from a  combination of immense amounts of  right-wing money and poor campaigning by the Dems themselves.

Two hitherto neck-and-neck races appear to be widening in favour of the GOP, with Joni Ernst pulling ahead by around 2.5% in Iowa, and Cory Gardner opening up a 4.4% lead in Colorado. Three other Democratic Senate seats are regarded as gone — in Montana, a 16% gap has opened up after the first Democratic candidate withdrew in the wake of a plagiarism scandal, and in Arkansas, one of the last Southern red states (i.e. Republican voting in presidential polls) with a Democratic Senator, Mark Pryor is trailing Tom Cotton by 5.5%. In West Virginia, held for decades by John Rockefeller, a Democrat with a Republican name, the GOP has turned it from competitive seat into a lead of 6%.

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2 comments

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2 thoughts on “Rundle: Democrats to lose the Senate, but Hillary’s waiting in the wings

  1. Gavin Moodie

    Thanx for this analysis, and for leavening the end with a bit of good news.

    So now I suppose we’re hoping that no Supreme Court judge dies or resigns in the next 2 years.

  2. AR

    How very depressing. Doesn’t bode well for the rest of the world.

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