So far as the opinion polls are concerned, the past three months have been a period of substantial recovery for the Abbott government. The BludgerTrack poll aggregate records the Coalition increasing its two-party support since the start of June by nearly 3% to its current level of 49.2% -- taking it, as Montgomery Burns might have put it, from a potential Chernobyl to a mere Three Mile Island.

As ever, though, the signal that can be discerned through the fog of scattered poll results has been apt to get lost amid the noise. For those of a mind to see it that way, the present picture is of Morgan telling the true story in having Labor's two-party vote northwards of 55%, while Newspoll and Galaxy have distorted the picture at the behest of their publishers by as much as four points in favour of the Coalition.