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Jul 29, 2014

Essential: Abbott’s MH17 performance lifts Coalition

Tony Abbott's handling of the MH17 disaster has won the approval of all voting groups and sent the Coalition's vote to its highest point in months, today's Essential Report shows.

Bernard Keane — Politics Editor

Bernard Keane

Politics Editor

Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s response to the MH17 atrocity has been strongly endorsed by voters and has lifted the Coalition’s vote, today’s Essential Report shows, while incentives for renewable energy are voters’ preferred climate change policy now that the carbon price has been repealed.

Abbott’s handling of the downing of the airliner was endorsed across all voting groups, with just 13% voicing disapproval and 67% approving, with even voters normally strongly antipathetic toward Abbott, such as Greens and other/Palmer United voters, indicating approval.

On whether Russian President Vladimir Putin should be permitted to attend the G20 meeting in Brisbane in November, 49% of voters say he shouldn’t while 29% say he should, with little difference between voters of different parties. Sixty-two per cent of voters say Australia should adopt further sanctions against Russia if it is found to have been involved; 46% want to sever diplomatic relations, but just 28% think it’s a good idea to provide support to Ukraine.

Two-thirds of voters do not expect their power bills to fall as a result of the carbon price repeal, with just 33% saying they expect them to decrease, despite the Coalition insisting massive savings awaited consumers and Clive Palmer claiming to have guaranteed price cuts as a condition of his support for repeal. In the absence of a carbon price, voters prefer the apparently pain-free policy of encouraging renewable energy to replace it.

Incentives for renewable energy cost voters either in terms of taxes or higher prices (for now) via regulation, but appear to be preferable to an emissions trading scheme, while Environment Minister Greg Hunt’s Direct Action policy is almost universally acknowledged as a joke, with significantly less support than even the denialist do-nothing option.

Voters also far prefer increasing the childcare rebate over the government’s paid parental leave scheme, in the wake of the Productivity Commission’s recommendation that the PPL scheme be dumped in favour of increased childcare funding. Fifty-one per cent of voters favour an increase in the childcare rebate compared to 25% who favour the government’s PPL scheme. Surprisingly, there is minimal difference between voters, with even Coalition voters preferring an increase in the rebate, 52% to 24%.

On voting intention, the rise in the Coalition’s flagged last week has been confirmed, with the Coalition’s primary vote on 41% and Labor on 38%, with the Greens on 9%. The two-party preferred result is 51%-49%, down from 52%-48% last week in the government’s favour — the closest the Coalition has been since mid-April.

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13 thoughts on “Essential: Abbott’s MH17 performance lifts Coalition

  1. MJPC

    Incentives for renewable energy…Memo to the coal industry…read those figures and weap. It is a growing revolution in the how energy will seek to be sourced and it is a ground level upwards movement.
    Not the electricity suppliers telling us what they want us to pay.

  2. Emile Tsalto

    I wonder what the PM will do if it turns out that it was actually a missile from the war plane next to MH17 before it fell out of the sky.

  3. The Pav

    I guess the question is how many australians have to die before Abbott becomes acceptable

  4. CML

    Bernard – I have read your final sentence in this article, several times. Are you saying that the government (LNP) is now 51% to Labor’s 49%? If so, I just don’t believe that.
    Newspoll out today (not known for their Labor bias) says that Labor is on 54% to the LNP on 46%. Just listening to the people I meet, and reading opinions on various blogs, I think Essential has the numbers badly wrong.
    Suppose time will tell!

  5. Peter Watson

    Looking at what has been pushed onto the Australian people in the last week, by the media, it now looks like Australia is in a similar position to all the other shitty little countries were the US has installed a puppet government.

  6. smssiva

    I am somewhat perplexed. I understood that Essential is a rolling average. If it is the latest figures must be more like 50:50 for it to arrive at 51:49. This is very much at odds with both the Galaxy and Newspoll. Have they changed their methodology?

  7. The Old Bill

    All I have in my head is a vision of Putin on a horse with his shirt off, whilst the horse is lead around by Abbott wearing speedos. They are both of course covered in tanning oil.

    If either of them could bother about real issues, rather than strutting about being macho and Nationalist, the world would be a better place

  8. klewso

    Putin gave Toady a PR black-eye in Bali and he’s been waiting, with his gang, since, to get back at him.

  9. klewso

    Is the West held as responsible, as Putin has been, for the use of ordnance it makes available around the world, backing their “freedom-fighter” favourites?

  10. Patrick

    The uptick will be temporary as progress stalls when Tony discovers how difficult & infuriating it is to deal with Putin who just like Tony says says one thing but does the exact opposite.