Jul 17, 2014

Stafford byelection could be a preview of Newman’s undoing

Byelections are rarely happy occasions for governments, but the electoral test that faces Campbell Newman on Saturday is a gloomier prospect than most.

William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

With barely nine months to go until the likely date of the next state election, voters in the electorate of Stafford will choose a successor to outgoing Liberal National Party member Chris Davis, who has brought his debut parliamentary term to a premature end after a series of disputes with Newman’s government.

Stafford appeared to be a fairly solid seat for Labor until the drubbing it suffered at the 2012 election, when an existing margin of 7.3% was demolished by an LNP swing of 14.4%.

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4 thoughts on “Stafford byelection could be a preview of Newman’s undoing

  1. klewso

    “Flog off Flegg!”? Manuel saved?

  2. Electric Lardyland

    Unfortunately for the candidate and the LNP, that appears to be the candidates usual expression.
    Also, even though I live in Qld, this is the first that I’ve heard about the new voter identification laws.

  3. The Old Bill

    looks like Prince Charles or his Dad had a love child during one of their stays in this wide brown land

  4. Dawn Oz

    Dear Poll Bludger,

    In order to settle a discussion about the extent of the swing on by-elections – now that the 2PP in Stafford is 18% – I’ve been trying to find info about the frequency and intensity of by-election swings. There is a belief that by-elections usually favour the opposition; however by how much?

    Dawn Oz

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