Moving over to the government benches can change the way a politician looks at things. Suddenly it’s not so much about beating the other party to get into government so much as beating off your colleagues to get the things done that are important to you, leaving a legacy and gaining a favourable public profile that will further your career.
The other thing is that suddenly you’re expected to have answers — it’s not enough to highlight problems. That’s what confronts both Environment Minister Greg Hunt and Industry Minister Ian Macfarlane.
A few weeks ago Hunt was delivering a speech warning about the perils of a price on carbon because other countries would steal our jobs who were less concerned about constraining emissions. As an example he highlighted how China’s coal consumption was to grow from 1.4 billion tonnes in 2002 to 4 billion by 2015. But a few days ago Fairfax Media reported:
“Environment Minister Greg Hunt would not comment on the IPCC report until it is released. But he was confident the world would deal with climate change.
“‘The reason I am most confident is because the Chinese and the Americans who are the central part of any agreement both have a very strong view,’ he said. ‘The most heartening development in the past two years has been China’s growing commitment to action from its paramount leadership.'”
You don’t choose to write an honours thesis about the virtues of taxes on pollution and then seek out ministerial responsibility for environmental matters if you couldn’t care less about it.
Hunt has been talking all manner of rubbish since Abbott took on the Liberal leadership, in order to get elected. But now he has the prize opportunity to do something. Except, there’s one thing standing in his way — his colleagues.
Some time ago there was another incredibly ambitious environment minister that many laughed off, who faced similar difficulties to Hunt: Ian Campbell. Campbell did some dumb things, and he had a horrible habit of speaking first and thinking second. He was a minister confronted with a great big problem in carbon emissions and little authority to do anything about it. But he did have the authority to talk publicly about climate change science.
And he talked big. By acknowledging what a big problem climate change was and acknowledging the need for radical emission cuts to address it, he subtly acted to make it harder for the Howard government to maintain its “do nothing” policy stance.
It was policy by jawboning his colleagues via the media. While Campbell had few policy achievements, his strong public stance on climate science helped pave the way for the Liberals to agree to an emissions trading scheme and an enlarged renewable energy target under Malcolm Turnbull.
“Hunt could yet be remembered for more than just the axing of climate programs and people — if he plays his cards right.”
Now it’s Hunt’s turn. While it served his interests in the past to talk down the efforts of countries like the United States and China, now that he holds the levers honesty is a better policy. In the end, neither country has a national trading scheme in place (even though they do have regional schemes) so he can, reasonably safely, use these countries as examples to help him push the need for Australia to take strong action on emissions.
That’s probably also why Hunt won’t be pushing for the Climate Change Authority to down tools until he has managed to repeal the carbon price legislative package. Hunt told the ABC’s Lateline:
“In this case [the Climate Change Authority], we have to do it legislatively, so they continue to do their work until the repeal process has been completed.”
This is quite unlike what has occurred with the Clean Energy Finance Corporation.
With Labor and the Greens saying they’ll resist repeal, this means the Climate Change Authority will be around until at least June 30 next year. This will allow them to complete their caps and targets review. This review will set out the considerable action other countries, notably China and the US, are doing to constrain emissions. It is also quite likely that, in light of this action internationally, they’ll recommend Australia should go beyond its 5% emissions reduction target.
This report will be backed by considerable analysis and evidence. While many in the Coalition will dismiss it as leftist claptrap by Clive Hamilton, those towards the centre of the political spectrum will probably find the work well reasoned. This will aid Hunt in pushing for measures to strengthen or supplement his inadequate Direct Action emissions reduction fund.
Hunt’s position is not completely powerless, indeed it is vastly better than that of Campbell or even Turnbull when he was environment minister. Hunt has an explicit commitment to ratify the second phase of the Kyoto Protocol, which will formalise the 5% emission reduction target. In addition, he has at least the bare bones of a scheme and funding to continue a market in emission reductions. Furthermore, he has a vastly more significant renewable energy target he can defend; very useful infrastructure in the National Greenhouse and Energy Reporting System; and, with Macfarlane’s support, the potentially very powerful Greenhouse and Energy Minimum Standards Act.
Hunt could yet be remembered for more than just the axing of climate programs and people — if he plays his cards right.
*This article was originally published at Climate Spectator
12 thoughts on “Can Hunt slip his Coalition chains to really take direct action?”
Jimmy
September 26, 2013 at 1:26 pmI think this article is wishful thinking to say the least.
klewso
September 26, 2013 at 1:46 pmHunt is too conflicted.
paddy
September 26, 2013 at 1:59 pmIt would be lovely to *hope* that Hunt might actually exercise some real leadership, now he’s (nominally)in a position of power.
But it would be foolish to *believe* that he will.
The current Govt owes debts to way too many rent-seekers who’ve got skin in the game.
Hamis Hill
September 26, 2013 at 2:30 pmMr Abbott is now clearly excess to requirements.
So “his” ministry has a clear incentive to ditch this electoral insanity, give the signal to Murdoch about who runs the Liberal party and guarantee a win in 2016.
BONE THE TONE, sorry “bone the tone” sotto voce, must be whispering around Coalition ranks just at present.
Steve777
September 26, 2013 at 2:49 pmI agree with Klewso. The Liberal Party has been captured by the Climate Change denialist lobby and is determined not to take any actions that would cost its supporters in the Mining and Fossil fuel industries. Of course the Government can send young people out into the bush with a song in their hearts to plant trees as long as someone else besides its major backers pays for it. The Abbott Government is giving every indication that it plans To withdraw Australia from any meaningful action to mitigate Climate Change. If Greg hunt genuinely believes that Climate Change is a problem and that Australia needs to make its contribution towards addressing it, he’s in the wrong party.
Pedantic, Balwyn
September 26, 2013 at 3:11 pmIt seems ironical that post election the electorate is waking up to the facts that the Coalition is a bunch of denialists and that there is a real problem with Climate Change.
So if Shorten or Albo wish to really have a crack at securing a one term parliament they could do worse than developing a policy that puts them in the box seat as protectors of the climate.
On their side will be the realisation that electricity prices won’t fall to any substantial degree as the dreaded Carbon Tax is removed. Although smart Tony will no doubt ensure that there is no discussion of the subject in the media, avoiding any interviews to keep the public in the dark (no pun intended)
Richard
September 26, 2013 at 3:21 pmi guess “beating off your colleagues” is one way to get things done?
klewso
September 26, 2013 at 4:52 pmPedantic, it’s not up to Tony what the media discusses – they can speculate in the smell of an oily Right rag – it’s up to his patron, “Uncle Rupert” what they find in the pubic interest (ie his).
We had their lack of interest on record in their dearth of coverage of Abbott’s connections to Slippergate, his uni japes, and his part in bringing down One Nation, just over the last year or so.
Murdoch Con-trolls the biggest lump of it – most of the rest of the media monkeys just ape his lead.
Scott Grant
September 26, 2013 at 5:41 pmBalwyn: electorate is waking up??? Where is the evidence for this? The electorate voted for Tony and/or the Free Beer Party (or whatever) because Julia Lied! and stabbed Kevin in the back! and Kevin stabbed Julia in the back! Just another episode of Big Brother. Climate Cha. . .(eyes glaze over).
MJPC
September 27, 2013 at 8:02 amSorry, this article is full of wishful thinking and has been overtaken by events. Yesterdays comments about the Feds seeking a concordance with the states on CSG approvals for agriland bodes badly for the environment.
Of course none of the critics of CSG mining were invited to the talkfest, so it was a Munich Agreement to destroy the environment for the god Carbon.
If Hunt is fair dinkum on climate change let’s hear some facts on their affirmative action policy, not tosh about why the carbon tax should be repealed.
By the way, hottest spring temps ever yesterday in the Eastern states, bush fires in early Spring. Look forward to summer under climate change, we will have it for a long time.