Polls in Israel’s election closed at 7am this morning, Australian eastern time. Results are not yet official, but the exit polls have been supplemented with actual results from sample booths. With the whole country voting as one electorate it’s hard for exit polls to make large errors, although in a close election even one or two seats could make a lot of difference.
With that caveat in place, here’s how it looks for Israel’s next parliament: Likud-Beiteinu, the joint list of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his indicted former foreign minister Avigdor Lieberman, will have between 31 and 33 seats in the 120-seat parliament, or Knesset — down from a combined 42 last time. Jewish Home, the extreme pro-settler party, will have about 12 seats (up five) and the two orthodox parties between them probably 18 (up two). That’s a total of maybe 62 for the right, a bare majority.