Nov 1, 2012

Richard Farmer’s chunky bits: Abbott will be out by Christmas

Behind the leadership mutterings in the Liberal Party is the belief that the opinion polls show that Malcolm Turnbull would be a winner in a contest against Julia Gillard. What the polls don't take into account is that the moment public opinion showed defeat looming Labor will return to looking at its own leadership. It would be a case of come-back-Kevin-all-is-forgiven.

Richard Farmer

Crikey political commentator

Flawed, fatal and terminal. The former Liberal Peter Slipper is not the most objective forecaster of Tony Abbott's future but he is far from being alone on the conservative side of politics in predicting the Opposition Leader's imminent demise. The Parliament House rumour mill is well and truly grinding away with Malcolm Turnbull being widely tipped for a comeback as the Abbott popularity ratings keep falling in the opinion polls. "When one looks at recent opinion polls it is by no means certain that the Leader of the Opposition will be leading the opposition at the time of the next election" is how the deposed Speaker described the situation yesterday in the House of Representatives, tossing in for good measure the description of the leadership as "flawed and fatal and terminal." I've heard enough similar views expressed in private to think it's worthwhile putting an entry into the competition First Dog is running.

I expect the tea towel to arrive in time for Christmas.

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