Jul 23, 2012

Poll Bludger: a case of no Libs, no Greens

Notwithstanding the Greens' unduly stubborn refusal to concede defeat, it is beyond doubt that Labor is over the line in the Melbourne byelection, writes William Bowe of Crikey blog Poll Bludger.

Notwithstanding the Greens’ unduly stubborn refusal to concede defeat, it is beyond doubt that Labor is over the line in the Melbourne byelection. Its candidate, Jennifer Kanis, holds a 754-vote lead over Cathy Oke of the Greens, with only a few thousand votes outstanding and the tide of late counting running in Labor’s favour.

The result has surprised election watchers, national newspapers and, most memorably, Sportsbet, which went a step too far with its regular publicity stunt of paying out on sure-thing election results before the actual event.

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2 thoughts on “Poll Bludger: a case of no Libs, no Greens

  1. judith pugh

    I know of two people who would ordinarily vote Green then preference Labour but who voted Labour on Saturday because they wanted to avoid a “bad news for Gillard” headline.

  2. Russell

    No Libs, no Greens… good headline, and quite correct.

    Almost everyone predicted a Greens win here, as the Greens can only ever hope to win in their heartland seats (inner capital cities) if the Libs either preference them, or don’t stand.

    This result confirms something else too: The Greens are totally dependent on the Liberal Party.

    The Liberal Party gave Adam Bandt his seat, and, as it turned out ensured the immolation of the Labor minority government.

    I’m sure even its hard-headed strategists didn’t realize they were being so clever, but its was an important lesson. If they could help destroy the Labor Party, they would… Even today in The Oz, one of their senior writers suggests the Libs don’t stand in Grayndler, Sydney, Batman, Melbourne Ports, Brisbane and Freemantle. That is: 6 less Labor MPs…

    This symbiotic relationship between the Greens and the Libs is not as strange as it first appears. Greens voters are overwhelmingly tertiary educated, high income professionals, usually Anglo and employed in the public sector, or else they are students.

    That is, pretty close demographically to Liberal voters, if not identical.

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