A key report commissioned by the federal and Victorian governments into the future of the Latrobe Valley has found that, regardless of the impacts of a carbon price, the region faces long-term structural challenges across its key big-employing growth sectors such as health care and agriculture.
That should have been the lead for media reports on a new report released yesterday into the restructuring of the Latrobe Valley region. AAP, in a piece run in the Herald Sun under the headline “Call for action on Vic’s Latrobe Valley” got it pretty right. The Australian had, shall we say, a different take.
“Carbon tax ‘a threat to power jobs’, says report” screamed the headline. “Deep uncertainty among the Latrobe Valley power generators and potential sweeping cuts to the local economy and employment have been sheeted home to the new carbon pricing regime,” began John Ferguson’s article. On and on it went about the impact of a carbon price on power generation jobs.
The few people who will bother to read the report will find Ferguson’s article bears minimal relationship to it. For a start, the report makes the interesting point that electricity and coal mining, even combined, are only the sixth-biggest employer in the region. Health, retail, agriculture, construction and education all employ significantly more people in the region than coal and electricity, although that sector is just ahead of health care as the largest sector by output.
And the impact of the carbon price? “The introduction of a national carbon price will drive substantial change in the Latrobe Valley’s economy over the next decade and beyond,” the report concludes. But the committee overseeing the report “believes that regardless of the short-term uncertainty associated with the introduction of the Commonwealth government’s Clean Energy Future (CEF) policy including the Contract for Closure program, there will be major structural change in the Latrobe Valley’s power generation sector over the next decade and beyond.” It also notes that the region is still recovering from the Kennett government’s privatisation.
But wait — still recovering? How could that be? We’ll be coming up to 20 years since privatisation. Well, see, the impact of privatisation in the Latrobe Valley was massive. According to another report cited by the committee from 2011, employment in the utilities sector in the region fell from more than 8000 jobs in 1986 to less than 1800 in 2001. Full-time employment fell 9% in the region between 1994 and 2001. The current number of electricity sector employees in the Latrobe Valley is 1570, with another 1000 contractors. Even if a carbon price were to wipe out the entire electricity sector in the region in one go, it would have much less than half the impact of Jeff Kennett’s privatisation.
Which, needless to say, failed to attract such widespread concern about job losses among commentators.
The report recommends that, in order to ensure workers displaced by structural change, including the carbon price and possible closure of a generation facility, can move into growth sectors such as health and agriculture, skills and training should be a priority. As well, infrastructure investment should be better co-ordinated, private sector investment should be facilitated and the region’s “liveability” should be targeted.
For anyone who’s read regional development reports before, there’s very little that’s new. The Latrobe Valley is in the fortunate position of having growth industries already present — a lot of regional communities have to work out ways to lure growth industries into the area — which means the challenge is primarily of reskilling its workforce and ensuring investment continues to flow into the area. But let’s not allow any of that to sully a good anti-carbon price yarn.

33 thoughts on “Carbon price v privatisation — which is worse in the Latrobe?”
klewso
July 3, 2012 at 6:44 pmI’m talking Telstra etc to pay down debt.
James K
July 3, 2012 at 6:59 pmIgnorant voters will get the govt they deserve. The minority who are less ignorant have to suffer with the rest of them….
AR
July 3, 2012 at 7:47 pmI
AR
July 3, 2012 at 7:52 pmI see in the UK press that even Camoron has realised that PFI is a total rip-off – hardly surprising that it was intitiated by li’l johnny minor and enthusiastically endorsed & continued by Blaahh (whom MrsT called her “greatest achievement/legacy”). Never mind that anybody with a modicum of mathematical ability or, for those edjakated after 1975, a $5 calculator could see that numbers were bullshit.
However, as this article points out, facts have SFA to do with the attitude of people who are allowed to handle sharp implements and VOTE!
WTF
July 3, 2012 at 9:25 pmPerhaps apart from the oldest of professions, show me a single industry that was around 20 years ago and today employs the same number of people. There isn’t any. As an example, 20 years ago the SECV required 5000 people to manage its accounts in Melbourne alone, today 50 people will do the same. It is called technology not privatization and these comparisons are plain dumb even by Crickey’s standards!
Damotron
July 3, 2012 at 9:32 pmI can’t believe the voters are falling for the News Limited propaganda. Shows how powerful and dangerous a media monopoly can be.
geomac62
July 3, 2012 at 9:49 pmWTF
A well named moniker as I expect thats what a lot say after reading posts like the one above . Now lets say there are 5 retailers in Vic for power , there are more but lets say five . That would be ten people to do the work including managerial , accountancy , sales , problems and IT . Thats just the retailers without adding the power stations themselves . All are making a profit and all are doing what used to be done by one utility that trained a large workforce including apprentices , very important for skilled workforce . Forward planning that had the citizens of the state in mind not the bottom line but still managed to provide a healthy dividend to the state of Victoria every year . Now the state depends on gambling taxes and stamp duty .
Paul Odgers
July 3, 2012 at 10:47 pmI have been a resident of the Valley since the old State Electricity Commission – SEC – (which was also known as ‘Safe Easy Comfortable’) was generating power. While there certainly was a lot of fat to be trimmed from this institution, Australia is now suffering from a labour force shortage. In the past many apprentices and trainees were trained by such old public service behemoths as the SEC – leaving such training to private industry without significant incentives just aint gonna happen.
When the LV was restructured in the 90’s there really wasn’t any federal gov’t assistance that I am aware of, which was a bit galling when some steel industry town in NSW (cannot remember which) got assistance thrown at them when they went through restructuring.
Sick and tired of this carbon-tax fear mongering. Since the restructure it is sad to see my old hometown of Morwell looking very old – parts of the valley seem to be enclaves of welfare dependents – which is great for the health industry down here – growing at rapid. Despite the predictions of the doom sayers in the Oz, The valley is one of the fastest growing areas in Australia on my estimates Traralgon grew from 20,000 to 24,000 between the census of 2001 and 2006 – 20% in 5 years – havent looked at the latest….but the town has grown on all boundaries since then.
geomac62
July 3, 2012 at 11:03 pmPaul Odgers
I think you may be thinking of Newcastle in NSW Paul . On the other point you raised it seems to me Morwell and Traralgon will only be separated by a line on a map soon . If memory serves me right the area across from the LRH is designated for housing .
Liamj
July 4, 2012 at 12:01 am‘News Corp hack selective with the facts’ … shock, horror … just like LNP officials working as corporate lobbyists, thats how they get the job.
The real surprise is how privatisation brings joy to the most extreme luddites – sure the SEC was overstaffed, but they also sacked most of the maintainence staff, hence the infrastructure crumbles, brown and blackouts here we come, and don’t mention the powerline-bushfire death toll. Ain’t capitalism grand.