It's been a long time since an Australian election offered so many diverting novelties as the one now officially under way in Queensland: an unofficial opposition leader attempting to seize the premiership from outside parliament, an effective eight-week campaign, and another minor party insurgency in the regions.

However, two polls over the weekend help remind us of the ball we should not be taking our eye off -- the state’s urban south-east, where the LNP appears to be harnessing a swing of such order as to render all other considerations irrelevant.