The real Gillard negative Tony Abbott is avoiding. This being the time of year it is, I’ve had more contact with a wider range of friends and associates than normal. And as we exchange season’s greetings I have been surprised by the extent of the anger about Julia Gillard’s pay rise. The thought of the Australian Prime Minister earning more than the United States president clearly is not going down well with the public and it is Gillard who is suffering for it.
This is one of those rare occasions where Tony Abbott is not saying “no” but it doesn’t seem to matter. It is the leader of the government people hold responsible not the leader of the opposition.
The beneficiary when some aspects of the politicians’ pay rises come before the parliament next year clearly will be the Greens who are the only party not determined to get their heads into the trough — or should I say the only party prepared to pretend they don’t believe politicians should get their heads into the trough.
It’s a 50:50 chance. The survival of Julia Gillard as Labor leader until the next election is rated by the Crikey Leadership Indicator at 50% as the year comes towards its end.

And Labor actually winning the next election whoever is the leader?

The one game politicians play well. If there is one thing politicians are good at it is the blame game. The debate over how to handle boat people is as unedifying an example as I have ever seen. All the posturing this week has nothing to do with solving the problem and everything about trying to blame the other lot for it.
No partridges but black throated robins. The pear tree in the back yard is bare but a team of Chinese and Swedish researchers have this year rediscovered the breeding area for the poorly known Blackthroat Luscinia obscura, in the Qinling mountains, Shaanxi province, north central China.

Seven singing males were observed in Foping and seven more in Changqing National Nature Reserves — which almost equals the total number of individuals observed of this species since its discovery in the late 19th century. The Swedish Research Council, hailing what it called a “sensational bird finding in China“, describes the blackthroat as resembling a European Robin Erithacus rubecula in size and general appearance, but with a jet black throat and breast in the male. The female is considered to have a pale brownish throat and breast, although no females definitely attributable to this species have been observed.
The song is distinctive, and consists of rather short, quick, varied strophes that include both whistles and harsh notes. The strophes are delivered at a fairly slow, even pace. Several individuals were sound recorded in 2011.
So listen here, then, for the sound of the black throated robin
And while you listen feel the stresses of pre-Christmas living disappear. Or at least you should if Eleanor Ratcliffe, a psychologist from Surrey University in Guildford, has got it right. She is heading a research project to find out whether birdsong has any impact on people’s mental well-being.
Initially it involves volunteers from the National Trust and the Surrey Wildlife Trust filling in questionnaires to find out their preferences and how they self-rate the impact of hearing birds.
Last year, the BBC reports, the National Trust launched a scheme encouraging people to listen to birdsong for five minutes each day, as a way of combatting the “winter blues”.
“Birdsong gets us closer to nature, and links people to places and memories in a way that few other sounds can,” said Peter Brash, an ecologist with the Trust.
“It’s a simple pleasure that most of us can enjoy, even if we live in towns and cities.”
The new study will find out whether this mood enhancement is a reality for people who are not already bird or nature enthusiasts.
Here, there and everywhere. There’s nothing dull about the race for the US Republican presidential nomination. The lead is perpetually changing. Look at the ups and down in what the pollsters have been predicting will happen in the first contest of the new year:

Some pundits are even predicting an Iowa revival in the blue line of candidate Rick Perry as this advertisement gets its airplay:
Who knows. But while the national opinion polls have shown similar variations, the Crikey Republican Candidate Election Indicator has been consistently showing Mitt Romney as the most likely overall winner.



21 thoughts on “Gillard’s chance of survival? 50:50”
geomac
January 5, 2012 at 2:40 pmI support the NBN and wish my area was in line for getting it but not yet it seems. I take it the 56 billion is sourced from the opposition which makes it redundant as they can,t count . They have shredded any credibility in monetary matters . Even in Victoria the lib treasurer is has gone from slip ups to high farce with his statements that immediately are found to be even more ridiculous than Hockeys .
I read today the rollout of the NBN is going to increase in greenfield areas which negates installing copper into new homes . I have checked pricing for NBN that retailers have put out and they are competitive for GB but superior in speed with the added bonus of ditching my landline. I,m paying for phone rental that services my access to the ISP and about 5 local calls a month . The main argument against the NBN by the opposition is that it is a Labor policy and not theirs , plain and simple . Even an artculate person such as Turnbull hasn,t been able to mount a reasonable argument against it . Telstra shareholders are happy now that they realise the golden egg of copper monopoly is no longer the prize it seemed as mobile phones etc replace landlines . The NBN not only services homes by connection but also wifi .
This is one area I have investigated because I want my phone removed as I don,t need it other than access to the web . Wifi might be ok for tablets and whatever but security and reliability is better with home connection .
The PM got through plenty of policies in 2011despite the high wire act of a minority government and the only policy failure I see of significance is refugees . All parties fail on that policy with none having a sensible approach including the minor parties.
Suzanne Blake
January 5, 2012 at 2:49 pm@ Geomac
I have 500GB a month, its fast, reliable and includes all phone calls to any number in Australia.
Its half the just under half the price of the NBN.
Why get the NBN?
geomac
January 5, 2012 at 3:08 pmSB
500 GB ! Well thats more than the normal home user would require so I assume your needs don,t fit the normal person . Can you supply the ISP that provides this service to you and the from what NBN retailer you say is about double ? Saying something doesn,t make it correct and this is a topic that can be easily checked because the prices are on the various websites . Mind you unless you are connected for NBN in your area you could only access price of product from ISPs for other ares so as with everything there will be variations . Either way company names of the ISPs will verify if you are correct for normal domestic supply which is not 500GB .
Suzanne Blake
January 5, 2012 at 3:16 pm@ Geomac
Yes its way more than any house needs. I don’t even use 10% at max a month, mostly less than 5%.
TPG have unlimited for $70 a month tpg.com.au/
Optus have a range of plans, inc phone calls.
Telstra have some as well, but less competitive
Dodo have cheaper rates that TPG
What I am saying is that I have fast internet, don’t need faster, more download than I need, reliable andincluded phone calls.
SO THE NBN IS A WHITE ELEPHANT, massive waste of our money
geomac
January 5, 2012 at 4:23 pmSB
Can you supply the ISP that provides this service to you and the from what NBN retailer you say is about double ?
Your reply might seem reasonable except that you fail to address the statement you made concerning double price . All I asked was for your ISP and the NBN retailer you compared it with which is not an intrusion into your privacy as prices can be checked online for all customers . The reason for the request is simply to assess the accuracy or otherwise of your statement . You say white elephant and I say its the bees knees and thats our opinion . Saying figures without giving a source to verify is not opinion but either conjecture or false . What is a fact is that the libs made a monumental blunder in not separating retail and wholesale Telstra. If I recall correctly they made major concessions to independent senator Harradine to get it through .
I looked up TPG and wonder why if you use a fraction of capacity you don,t go for lower rate in the bundled or unbundled plans . I also noticed a whirlpool page about complaints for line dropouts for TPG but that was a while ago and not current . Figures not wild assertions isn,t much to ask . I took the the time to look up the ISP you mentioned and you don,t even need to look up the NBN retailer you compared with your retailer . You just need to remember and say the name .
Suzanne Blake
January 5, 2012 at 4:27 pm@ Geomac
Dodo, and I was using NBN rates for other areas of Australia when its available. Its double the price and just local calls.
I think the best NBN rate is $150 a month and not all calls.
geomac
January 5, 2012 at 5:02 pmTY
iinet has 500+500 GB at $79.95 a mnth at 12 mbps with 1GB of webspace which surprised me , mine gives me 20MB . Thats a quick check with 100+100 at 59.95 and 20+20 at 49.95 . Dodo I haven,t checked as yet but I wouldn,t go with them in any case , too much adverse reports about their business structure and approach although I will have a look . So the best is $150 a month according to you yet it took me a few minutes to find half that price at double the GBs you current have . Different companies and different plans and of course there is the question of contracts and support . I don,t like to churn unless I have a good reason as it too much hassle and I don,t like contracts . Why would anyone sign up for 24 months is beyond me.
Suzanne Blake
January 5, 2012 at 5:19 pm@ Geomac
Here is iinet NBN. The plan I am on is almost half and I get phone calls.
Compare unlimited package to their 1TB package. Even the 300GB package and I get calls!!
Bronze package
12/1 Mbps: 30GB $59.95, 200GB $79.95, 300GB $99.95, 1TB $149.95
Silver package
25/5 Mbps: 30GB $69.95, 200GB $89.95, 300GB $109.95, 1TB $159.95
Gold package
50/20 Mbps: 30GB $79.95, 200GB $99.95, 300GB $119.95, 1TB $169.95
Platinum package
100/40 Mbps: 30GB $99.95, 200GB $119.95, 300GB $139.95, 1TB $189.95
geomac
January 5, 2012 at 5:22 pmIt’s too early to reveal commercial pricing for plans on the National Broadband Network (NBN), according to Australian internet service provider (ISP) TPG.
iiNet yesterday joined rival telcos Internode and Exetel in unveiling pricing for services on the NBN, with chief regulatory officer Steve Dalby saying that he expected ISPs like Dodo or TPG to potentially undercut iiNet on pricing, but not Telstra or Optus. TPG, however, was not yet ready to announce NBN plan prices.
Dodo has b/band prices on their site but I couldn,t find any NBN specific plans. So how you arrived at a price I,m unsure because it wasn,t listed . One thing for sure is that your figure is out of whack.
Suzanne Blake
January 5, 2012 at 5:43 pm@ Geomac
Just googled NBN pricing and you have iinet as in previous post
Google Dodo and you have them as well connectto.dodo.com/wizard/servicecheck.aspx
Dodo ADSL2 rates are half comparable iinet NBN rates and you get calls as well.
All you get with NBN is faster speed and more cost. Whoppy do, I am happy with speed now.