A Pyrrhic victory? As Labor continues to celebrate its achievement in getting emissions trading legislation through the House of Representatives comes this assessment of international movement towards an emissions reduction agreement: Climate Change Negotiations -- The Death of the Kyoto Process headlines Der Spiegel.
There seems little possibility that next month's climate summit in Durban will produce an emissions reduction agreement -- meaning the world will soon lack any binding CO2 targets. Europe may soon find itself alone in the fight against global warming ... But the belief that global warming can be halted through international co-operation is elusive. The Kyoto Protocol, the world's only binding climate agreement, will soon expire. The most important means to date of compelling industrialised nations to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions seems likely to become a mere footnote in history. The current CO2-reduction agreements expire at the end of 2012, and there is enormous resistance to new targets. The environment ministers and negotiators from roughly 200 countries, who will travel to Durban, South Africa at the end of November for the latest global climate conference, are a long way from breathing new life into the Kyoto process.
If this prediction of a virtually complete failure in Durban comes to pass, then the opposition to an Australian tax on CO2 emissions will grow even stronger with this Labor government becoming even more on the nose. Here comes the rain. Just in case you thought that climate change was not real: Cairns yesterday had its wettest October day on record and with nearly half the month to go it is already the wettest October for 47 years

And chances are that there will be a lot more rain to come this summer, with the Bureau of Meteorology's annual tropical cyclone season outlook predicting an above-average number of tropical cyclones for all four regions across northern Australia. Bureau of Meteorology climate prediction manager Dr Andrew Watkins said climate models were trending towards another La Niña, which would lead us to expect a slightly higher-than-average number of tropical cyclones, however, no two La Niña events are the same.