With the New Zealand meeting this week for the last time before the 26 November election we can start taking the opinion polls seriously. And the message of the latest ones looks clear: the National Party Prime Minister John Key looks set for re-election.

This morning’s Fairfax Media-Research International poll has the Nationals on 54.3% to Labor’s 28.1%. At the general election in November 2008 the Nationals vote was 44.9% and Labor’s 34%.

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A Roy Morgan poll early this month had the voting intentions Nationals 57% to Labor 26%.

To me that looks like an unassailable lead that not even losing the Rugby World Cup could overturn and the market seems to agree with theCrikey NZ Election Indicator reading:

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Peter Fray
Peter Fray
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