Qantas is doing contingency planning for the evacuation of Australians from Tokyo if called upon by the Australian government.
However, so far the official Australian response, despite some emphatic urging by Foreign Minister Kevin Rudd that people should consider leaving now, is more measured than that of the US, which this morning urged its nationals to retreat at least 80 kilometres from the stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power reactor complex 240 kilometres north-east of Tokyo.
In fact, Qantas flights from Tokyo are still showing seat availability in coming days.
But the precision of the US advice reflects the total breakdown of the protocol between nuclear treaty nations not to comment on each other’s nuclear regulatory affairs. The Japanese authorities are sticking to a 20-kilometre exclusion zone in the open air or 30 kilometres for those who stay indoors. They are also refusing to budge on their claim of a level 4 nuclear crisis at the plant, despite now being contradicted by at least four nuclear treaty nations who have through their agencies described it as level 6, the same level first applied to the Chernobyl disaster of 1986, which was later raised to a level 7 event with global consequences and a need for concerted international action.
Overnight, the regulatory authorities of France, Germany, Switzerland and lastly the US have become the leading sources of accurate data and assessment of the situation at the six Japanese reactors that are collectively, in severe crisis and risk of total meltdowns.
Air France is operating two additional evacuation flights out of Tokyo on instructions from the French government, which like Germany, has told its nationals to leave.
The winds are currently forecast to blow directly from Fukushima to Tokyo tomorrow.
The US Department of Energy and the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission have nuclear reactor-trained personnel at, but now presumably some distance from, Fukushima Daiichi.
The most urgent concerns, at least at this moment, concern reactor No.4, where the temperature monitor in the spent fuel rod cooling pool went off line yesterday after remaining at 84 degrees throughout Monday and Tuesday.
The chairman of the NRC, Gregory Jaczko, says all of the coolant has drained or evaporated from the No.4 pool, leaving the fuel rods fully exposed. This is a prerequisite for a total meltdown of the fuel rods, in a reactor design that has been criticised for not being sufficiently robust to contain the consequences.
The temperature readings from de-activated reactors No.4, No.5 and No.6, for their spent fuel rod cooling pools, have been published by the International Atomic Energy Agency. The cooling ponds are specified to remain at 25 degrees with continuous coolant level maintenance. As of early this morning units 5 and 6 were also showing high and gradually rising readings.
Earlier today the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Yukiya Amano, admitted that he didn’t know who he would be able to meet with when he arrives in Tokyo to learn more about the state of affairs at Fukushima Daiichi.
At the moment Tokyo Electric says it hopes to restore power to the water pumping system at the complex today. It earlier abandoned attempts to drop water and boric acid on reactor 4. There has been no further guidance on official disclosures of structural damage inside reactor 2.

22 thoughts on “Qantas planning Tokyo evacuation as nuclear protocol breaks down”
Ben Sandilands
March 17, 2011 at 1:18 pmUPDATE: Australia has adopted the US recommendation of keeping at least 80 kms away from Fukushima Daiichi. Japan hasn’t yet budged on its 20 kms exclusion zone and remaining indoors if within 30 kms.
The helicopter water drops have resumed on reactors 3 and 4.
Mark Duffett
March 17, 2011 at 1:28 pmWhat Jaczko actually said (quoted on politico.com):
“The information that we have is coming from staff people that we have in Tokyo who are interfacing with counterparts in the nuclear industry in Japan, and I’ve confirmed with them that they believe the information they have is reliable,” Jaczko told ABC News.
“We believe that there is no water in the spent-fuel pool known as No. 4, and I would say that it is my great hope that the information that we have is not accurate,” he added.
(My emphasis)
Simon
March 17, 2011 at 1:35 pmMaybe i’m too young, maybe i’m just ignorant, but what constitutes a meltdown???
Is a meltdown a hell of a lot worse than the current situation (i.e. 80km exclusion and radiation travelling along the northern pacific jetstream to amercia?) or just a little worse?
Astro
March 17, 2011 at 1:52 pmThere are email flashes this morning that there has been a run on the banks there and some ATM networks are down.
John Bennetts
March 17, 2011 at 1:52 pmSimon,
Nuclear fuel consists of fubes of metal sheaths containing ceramic pellets.
The sheaths are able to withstand temperatures of perhaps 2000 degrees. The pellets, much higher.
When the sheaths start to melt, that situation is called meltdown, however I have heard that this term is acually not preferred in nuclear power circles.
NB: The fuel itself has not melted. Imagine lots of ceramic discs, no longer lined up and constrained like so many nice, cylindrical Caramello chocolates.
Come to think of it, what happened to the old Caramello round chocolate confectionery? Rectangular blocks of filled chocolate blobs are so boring by comparison. A quick check at the Cadbury site suggests that I have just showed my age. There is apparently no such thing as the former caramello chocolate, indicidually presented in a cylindrical outer wrapping.
John Bennetts
March 17, 2011 at 1:52 pmLast line typo: incidentally.
Damien
March 17, 2011 at 1:58 pmI hope they get the thing under control. One thing’s for sure, it would take a real dill to build another six-reactor power station on the coast of Japan. Even if they get the reactors cooled off and shut-down, how long will they take to de-commission? Are the damaged reactors likely to end up under concrete like Chernobyl or will they be able to demolish them in 30-50 years or so? I guess such choices represent the best case possible at the moment.
ronin8317
March 17, 2011 at 2:04 pmGregory Jaczko’s addressed the US House Energy and Commerce committee when he said ‘There is no water in the spent fuel pool’ close to reactor 4. If there were water in the pool, the fuel rods would not be burning.
Barry 09
March 17, 2011 at 2:55 pmWe are all DOOMED ! Have started to tape up all windows and doors and have stocked up on canned food and Promite , proven to prevent any Radiation. How long sould i stay inside before coming out ????? What’s Professor Bolt saying now ??? Still a media beat up ???
Captain Planet
March 17, 2011 at 3:17 pmBarry,
As I understand it, the Northern and Southern Hemisphere weather systems do not exchange very much gases, generally any airborne contaminants in the Northern Hemisphere don’t end up transferring to the Southern Hemisphere.
Which is comforting for us in Oz with regard to this particular incident….. But it does make me nervous that India now has nuclear reactors in the Southern Hemisphere.