A plume of radioactive particles extending into the stratosphere from the Fukushima Daiichi reactor complex makes a mockery of claims that Japan’s nuclear crisis isn’t comparable to the Chernobyl disaster in 1986.
The stream of nuclear contaminants are being driven by an intense heat source consistent with exposed fuel rods burning in air, the process that inevitably leads to meltdown unless massive and prompt intervention is successful.
These radioactive clouds are now mixing with higher altitude air currents and being dispersed more widely across northern Asia and the north Pacific.
They are being tracked by the international Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre in London, which is authorised by the International Atomic Energy Agency to alert airlines and airports to accidental releases of nuclear contamination.
The VAAC this morning issued 10 nuclear emergency flight information regional advisories (FIRs) to enable airlines to route flights well clear of the hazard along air corridors across northern Asia, southern China including Hong Kong, all of Japan and Korea and the high latitude or sub-polar routes that are used to connect North America to dozens of Asia-Pacific cities.
Qantas either has or will soon re-route its Narita flights to achieve a minimum time turnaround at the main Tokyo airport and return via Hong Kong, where there will be a crew change.
This change will avoid overnight stops by crews in Japan for occupational health and logistical reasons, but the airline is closely monitoring the changing situation and all travellers (and on all airlines) are advised to check for late changes to the northern Asia flights.
There is a line of six nuclear reactors at the Fukushima plant, four of which have now experienced one or more large explosions with the remaining two that had been taken off line before the earthquake and tsunami of last Friday now heating up to levels so dangerous Tokyo Electric is considering breaking down the reactor block walls to allow a build-up of hydrogen gas to escape.
Exasperation with the quality of information coming out of the Japanese nuclear authority, the government and the Tokyo Electric company led to harsh words from the French nuclear authority this morning.
It said the Daiichi accident could be classed as a level 6 event on the scale of one to 7. The Chernobyl calamity in 1986 began as a level 6 event and was then elevated to level 7, which until now consist of the only level 6 and level 7 events recorded.
An official was quoted as saying “Tokyo has all but lost control over the situation”.
This morning the Japan nuclear authority insisted that level 4, an event with purely local effects, was the appropriate level, which is clearly not what the normally ultra-tactful International Atomic Energy Agency thought when it directed the VAAC to issue the warnings to airlines, and also to the airports at which any aircraft exposed to radiation must be thoroughly decontaminated under international conventions.
The major European and China flag carriers have variously cancelled services to Japan or re-routed flights to ensure that flight crew do not overnight in Tokyo, similar to the action that Qantas is about to take.
The quality of information from the Japanese has descended into farce, with simultaneous claims that radiation levels are harmful in the Chernobyl-sized exclusion zone but did not constitute a threat to health. This follows the patently dishonest misuse of radiation exposure metrics used for the first 3½ days of the crisis, which understated the real levels by 1000 or three orders of magnitude.
The US think tank, the Institute for Science and International Security, said the situation at Daiichi had worsened considerably and was now closer to a level 6 event and “may unfortunately reach a level 7”.

231 thoughts on “Japan’s nuclear farce”
Bryan
March 16, 2011 at 4:55 pmA little off-topic and not sure if this has been posted. Some interesting Chernoble photos and verbage here
http://www.angelfire.com/extreme4/kiddofspeed/highres/highres.html
Having worked in the Nuclear industry, the one thing that was inevitable was misadventure. Or as our leader of the opposition would have it “Sh*t happens”.
No matter how hard we tried, human failure prevailed. The most memorable incident occurred when the Site Safety Officers were carrying a glass container of very low level liquid waste past the luncheon room. As murphys law would predict they dropped the container (which shattered) just as the crews left the room and walked through the liquid waste. Result was hundreds of shoes were collected and destroyed.
Mark Duffett
March 16, 2011 at 4:57 pmI don’t get it. If the VAAC in London has issued emergency FIRs, why does their website (metoffice.gov.uk/aviation/vaac/vaacuk.html) say “There are currently no advisories in force”?
danr
March 16, 2011 at 5:01 pm“the vast majority of active, publishing climate scientists”
That’s just the point “climate scientists”.
In our own local university we have a highly respected person who works in the area of Climate. Research gives the capacity to predict and analyse weather as a core science.
His work is basic science and an offshoot is that it is of assistance to business in dealing with business modeling.
In the same university we now have a Department of Climate Change.
Ostensibly they do the same thing.
One is researching and expanding the academic horizon.
The other is following an agenda.
danr
March 16, 2011 at 5:02 pmTry this one then, it took me while to find it.
This is what some Hawaiians think about putting windmills in their beautiful environment:
“California’s wind farms — then comprising about 80% of the world’s wind generation capacity — ceased to generate much more quickly than Kamaoa. In the best wind spots on earth, over 14,000 turbines were simply abandoned. Spinning, post-industrial junk which generates nothing but bird kills.”
http://storyreportscomments.blogspot.com/2010/02/abandoned-rusted-wind-turbines-reflect.html
Angra
March 16, 2011 at 5:03 pmThe Times of India and the UK Telegraph report that Japan was warned two years ago that its safety rules were not up to date and a strong earthquake would pose a serious problem to its nuclear power stations, reveals a cable leaked by WikiLeaks . The country is now facing the prospect of a nuclear meltdown following a massive earthquake and tsunami.
The Telegraph reported that an International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) official had pointed out in December 2008 that safety rules were out of date and strong earthquakes would pose a “serious problem” for nuclear stations.
The Japanese government had then vowed that it would upgrade safety at all its nuclear plants and it built an emergency response centre at the now stricken Fukushima plant that was designed to withstand a magnitude 7 quake. The earthquake that rocked Japan Friday measured magnitude 9.
A US embassy cable cited by The Daily Telegraph said: “He (an IAEA official) explained that safety guides for seismic safety have only been revised three times in the last 35 years and that the IAEA is now re-examining them.
“Also, the presenter noted recent earthquakes in some cases have exceeded the design basis for some nuclear plants, and that this is a serious problem that is now driving seismic safety work.”
The media report said safety warnings about nuclear power plants in Japan, which is one of the most seismologically active countries in the world, were also raised during the 2008 meeting of the G8’s Nuclear Safety and Security Group in Tokyo.
The cables show how Tokyo opposed a court order to shut down another nuclear power plant in western Japan due to concerns about whether it could withstand powerful earthquakes.
The court ruling said there was a possibility people might get exposed to radiation if there was an accident at the plant that built to withstand a mere 6.5 magnitude earthquake.
danr
March 16, 2011 at 5:05 pmShooba
I agree with you.
The Australian people aren’t stupid. It is inevitable that many Australians will start to think; if the Japanese had Hiroshoma and Nagasaki, and still went nuclear, why no us
gregb
March 16, 2011 at 5:13 pmDuh Syd Walker! Dontcha know that in danr-land “dozens of derelict mills” equals “thousands of derelect mills”. See dozen=thousand. Tut-tut.
Stevo the Working Twistie
March 16, 2011 at 5:15 pmMaybe we could burn trolls for energy. They seem to have a bit to spare.
lindsayb
March 16, 2011 at 5:28 pm@shooba
human nature, not natural disasters are the biggest threat to nuclear power. Cheap, poorly built and maintained, obsolete designed, poorly regulated, but politically well connected power stations will always win over safety.
Good engineers will be replaced if they don’t comply, builders will take shortcuts, regulators and inspectors will be bought off, government will be lobbied to allow plants to run beyond their servicable life, corporations who own the plants will be exempted from prosecution in the event of a disaster, and taxpayers will wear the costs if something goes wrong.
The best intentions will be swept aside by an ever increasing demand for bigger profits, risks will be placed on the public purse.
This is not a prediction, it is history.
danr
March 16, 2011 at 5:37 pmThanks Agra for a very illuminating comment.
As I mentioned earlier:
“What I want to know is this:
where is the discussion about the corruption which led to this?
Where is the investigation into the politicians who were paid off to give these outdated generators an extra 10 or 15 years of life above the engineered design?
The sooner we get to the real issues the better.”
There is money and influence changing hands.
All technology is susceptible.
We need go no further than air safety in Australia.
Standards have dropped. Read between the lines. Who profits?