A plume of radioactive particles extending into the stratosphere from the Fukushima Daiichi reactor complex makes a mockery of claims that Japan’s nuclear crisis isn’t comparable to the Chernobyl disaster in 1986.
The stream of nuclear contaminants are being driven by an intense heat source consistent with exposed fuel rods burning in air, the process that inevitably leads to meltdown unless massive and prompt intervention is successful.
These radioactive clouds are now mixing with higher altitude air currents and being dispersed more widely across northern Asia and the north Pacific.
They are being tracked by the international Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre in London, which is authorised by the International Atomic Energy Agency to alert airlines and airports to accidental releases of nuclear contamination.
The VAAC this morning issued 10 nuclear emergency flight information regional advisories (FIRs) to enable airlines to route flights well clear of the hazard along air corridors across northern Asia, southern China including Hong Kong, all of Japan and Korea and the high latitude or sub-polar routes that are used to connect North America to dozens of Asia-Pacific cities.
Qantas either has or will soon re-route its Narita flights to achieve a minimum time turnaround at the main Tokyo airport and return via Hong Kong, where there will be a crew change.
This change will avoid overnight stops by crews in Japan for occupational health and logistical reasons, but the airline is closely monitoring the changing situation and all travellers (and on all airlines) are advised to check for late changes to the northern Asia flights.
There is a line of six nuclear reactors at the Fukushima plant, four of which have now experienced one or more large explosions with the remaining two that had been taken off line before the earthquake and tsunami of last Friday now heating up to levels so dangerous Tokyo Electric is considering breaking down the reactor block walls to allow a build-up of hydrogen gas to escape.
Exasperation with the quality of information coming out of the Japanese nuclear authority, the government and the Tokyo Electric company led to harsh words from the French nuclear authority this morning.
It said the Daiichi accident could be classed as a level 6 event on the scale of one to 7. The Chernobyl calamity in 1986 began as a level 6 event and was then elevated to level 7, which until now consist of the only level 6 and level 7 events recorded.
An official was quoted as saying “Tokyo has all but lost control over the situation”.
This morning the Japan nuclear authority insisted that level 4, an event with purely local effects, was the appropriate level, which is clearly not what the normally ultra-tactful International Atomic Energy Agency thought when it directed the VAAC to issue the warnings to airlines, and also to the airports at which any aircraft exposed to radiation must be thoroughly decontaminated under international conventions.
The major European and China flag carriers have variously cancelled services to Japan or re-routed flights to ensure that flight crew do not overnight in Tokyo, similar to the action that Qantas is about to take.
The quality of information from the Japanese has descended into farce, with simultaneous claims that radiation levels are harmful in the Chernobyl-sized exclusion zone but did not constitute a threat to health. This follows the patently dishonest misuse of radiation exposure metrics used for the first 3½ days of the crisis, which understated the real levels by 1000 or three orders of magnitude.
The US think tank, the Institute for Science and International Security, said the situation at Daiichi had worsened considerably and was now closer to a level 6 event and “may unfortunately reach a level 7”.

231 thoughts on “Japan’s nuclear farce”
Mark Duffett
March 16, 2011 at 1:42 pmWhat’s the basis for saying that the units snafu was ‘dishonest’ rather than inadvertent?
Gavin Moodie
March 16, 2011 at 1:45 pmI also thank B Sandilands for the informativeness of his report.
The nuclear spruikers also say that these failures are very infrequent and unlikely to reoccur. While this is true, the consequences of nuclear failure are so great that even 1 may be too many for a very large number of people and for a very long time.
Joanna
March 16, 2011 at 1:52 pmOn Insiders last Sunday Andrew Bolt ranted at how appalling and inappropriate Kevin Rudd was for raising emerging problems with the powerplants. Barry Cassidy (who was anti-Rudd long before it became fashionable) agreed with him, and the panel degenerated into a bash-Rudd fest.
It is now becoming increasingly clear that Rudd was on the money.
Jim Reiher
March 16, 2011 at 1:53 pmOther than Mark Duffett, why is it that virtually everyone who is pro-nuclear power, and still singing its praises… and suspicious of articles like this – why wont they use their real full name? Do you work for the nuclear industry?… maybe you have shares in uranium mining?… are you on the staff of such companies?…. Mark and I don’t always agree, but I will read what he has to say and give it consideration. He is not hiding behind some pen name (I assume!)
Socratease
March 16, 2011 at 1:54 pmNuclear fission: plus ça change.
Mark Duffett
March 16, 2011 at 1:57 pmThanks, Jim. I can assure you it is my real name – after all, who would voluntarily choose a name like ‘Duffett’? 😉
David Dowell
March 16, 2011 at 1:57 pmAll workers have now been evacuated from the entire plant.
ronin8317
March 16, 2011 at 2:08 pmW.T.F.???? All worker is now evacuated.. MY GOD.. That will definitely make it worse than Chernobyl.
Damien
March 16, 2011 at 2:14 pmMaybe they don’t know how bad it is or isn’t. After all those explosions, it’s possible there is no real way to tell for sure – radioactivity readings aside. I’ve been a bit cynical about the Japanese pronouncements on this issue since Friday night when the PM said all reactors were OK. where did that c0me from, I thought. But there is a need for some circumspection. Mass panic on top of the cataclysmic death and destruction of the last few days is unlikely to help anyone.
Mark Duffett
March 16, 2011 at 2:16 pmBoy, are there some necks being stuck out here.
Apparently the evacuations were only for 45 minutes (MSNBC/Reuters). The same source I presume David Dowell employed (ABC) also says “Radiation readings at the plant are fluctuating hour by hour, but not posing a hazard to health”.