A plume of radioactive particles extending into the stratosphere from the Fukushima Daiichi reactor complex makes a mockery of claims that Japan’s nuclear crisis isn’t comparable to the Chernobyl disaster in 1986.
The stream of nuclear contaminants are being driven by an intense heat source consistent with exposed fuel rods burning in air, the process that inevitably leads to meltdown unless massive and prompt intervention is successful.
These radioactive clouds are now mixing with higher altitude air currents and being dispersed more widely across northern Asia and the north Pacific.
They are being tracked by the international Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre in London, which is authorised by the International Atomic Energy Agency to alert airlines and airports to accidental releases of nuclear contamination.
The VAAC this morning issued 10 nuclear emergency flight information regional advisories (FIRs) to enable airlines to route flights well clear of the hazard along air corridors across northern Asia, southern China including Hong Kong, all of Japan and Korea and the high latitude or sub-polar routes that are used to connect North America to dozens of Asia-Pacific cities.
Qantas either has or will soon re-route its Narita flights to achieve a minimum time turnaround at the main Tokyo airport and return via Hong Kong, where there will be a crew change.
This change will avoid overnight stops by crews in Japan for occupational health and logistical reasons, but the airline is closely monitoring the changing situation and all travellers (and on all airlines) are advised to check for late changes to the northern Asia flights.
There is a line of six nuclear reactors at the Fukushima plant, four of which have now experienced one or more large explosions with the remaining two that had been taken off line before the earthquake and tsunami of last Friday now heating up to levels so dangerous Tokyo Electric is considering breaking down the reactor block walls to allow a build-up of hydrogen gas to escape.
Exasperation with the quality of information coming out of the Japanese nuclear authority, the government and the Tokyo Electric company led to harsh words from the French nuclear authority this morning.
It said the Daiichi accident could be classed as a level 6 event on the scale of one to 7. The Chernobyl calamity in 1986 began as a level 6 event and was then elevated to level 7, which until now consist of the only level 6 and level 7 events recorded.
An official was quoted as saying “Tokyo has all but lost control over the situation”.
This morning the Japan nuclear authority insisted that level 4, an event with purely local effects, was the appropriate level, which is clearly not what the normally ultra-tactful International Atomic Energy Agency thought when it directed the VAAC to issue the warnings to airlines, and also to the airports at which any aircraft exposed to radiation must be thoroughly decontaminated under international conventions.
The major European and China flag carriers have variously cancelled services to Japan or re-routed flights to ensure that flight crew do not overnight in Tokyo, similar to the action that Qantas is about to take.
The quality of information from the Japanese has descended into farce, with simultaneous claims that radiation levels are harmful in the Chernobyl-sized exclusion zone but did not constitute a threat to health. This follows the patently dishonest misuse of radiation exposure metrics used for the first 3½ days of the crisis, which understated the real levels by 1000 or three orders of magnitude.
The US think tank, the Institute for Science and International Security, said the situation at Daiichi had worsened considerably and was now closer to a level 6 event and “may unfortunately reach a level 7”.

231 thoughts on “Japan’s nuclear farce”
MLF
March 16, 2011 at 1:13 pm“…now heating up to levels so dangerous Tokyo Electric is considering breaking down the reactor block walls to allow a build-up of hydrogen gas to escape…”
I’ve said before that I’m not religious, but I’m praying like buggery now. Thanks again Ben for being so informed and informative.
In contrast, I’ve received 2 emails in 12 hours from the Brisbane Times telling me that radiation is falling. Although I trust Ben’s information more, I sort of prefer the situation as the BT see it.
rossco
March 16, 2011 at 1:23 pmBut the nuclear spruikers are still saying nothing to worry about, everything is under control, don’t panic, we can safely build reactors in Australia because ……. Yeah sure.
michael l
March 16, 2011 at 1:31 pmYour evidence for your nuclear conspiracy is the actions of companies acting with the utmost caution due to public relations necessity, and you continuously claim any nuclear reactor science expert is either a liar or a nuclear apologist. The only farce here is your analysis.
Angra
March 16, 2011 at 1:32 pmBen – did you see this?
A Wikileaks cable released yesterday from the US embassy in Tokyo directly addresses problems with the cost and safety of Japanese nuclear power plants, raised by a member of the Diet, Taro Kono, with US representatives in 2008.
“Member of the House of Representatives Taro Kono spoke extensively on nuclear energy and nuclear fuel reprocessing during a dinner with a visiting staffdel, Energy Attache and Economic Officer October 21. Kono, a member of the Liberal Democratic Party first elected in 1996, is the son of Yohei Kono, a former President of the LDP who is currently the longest serving speaker of the House in post-war history. Taro Kono, who studied and worked in the United States and speaks excellent English, is a frequent embassy contact who has interests in agriculture, nuclear, and foreign policy issues. He is relatively young, and very outspoken, especially as a critic of the government’s nuclear policy. During this meeting, he voiced his strong opposition to the nuclear industry in Japan, especially nuclear fuel reprocessing, based on issues of cost, safety, and security. Kono claimed Japanese electric companies are hiding the costs and safety problems associated with nuclear energy, while successfully selling the idea of reprocessing to the Japanese public as “recycling uranium.” He asserted that Japan’s reprocessing program had been conceived as part of a nuclear cycle designed to use reprocessed fuel in fast breeder reactors (FBR). However, these reactors have not been successfully deployed, and Japan’s prototype FBR at Monju is still off-line after an accident in 1995.
Kono said following the accident at the Monju FBR, rather than cancel plans to conduct reprocessing, the electric companies developed the Mixed Oxide (MOX) fuel program. However, Kono criticized the MOX program as too expensive, noting it would be cheaper to just “buy a uranium mountain in Australia,” or to make a deal to import uranium from other sources.
He also accused the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI) of covering up nuclear accidents, and obscuring the true costs and problems associated with the nuclear industry. He claimed MPs have a difficult time hearing the whole of the U.S. message on nuclear energy because METI picks and chooses those portions of the message that it likes.”
http://213.251.145.96/cable/2008/10/08TOKYO2993.html
shepherdmarilyn
March 16, 2011 at 1:38 pmReally, the people who bombed Maralinga said it was lovely and safe too.
Johnfromplanetearth
March 16, 2011 at 1:39 pmIt is nothing at all like Chernobyl, where you miss the point ROSSCO is you forget what caused the problem in the first place. The only farce i see is the hysteria of anti nuclear zealots. We should have at least 6 reactors in Australia NOW!
Moderator: this comment has been slightly edited to remove a personal insult
Mark Duffett
March 16, 2011 at 1:40 pmThe key information missing here is the nature and concentration of the “plume of radioactive particles”. If it’s low, it’s possible that that ‘don’t panic’ is correct. Certainly the latter is the message I get from another source I respect, which was published nearly simultaneously.
Chris
March 16, 2011 at 1:41 pmHi Ben,
Two things – kind of important to me as I’m anxiously sitting here in Tokyo.
I’ve read a fair number of writeups about reactor design and what happens in critical situations which contradict the above (e.g. http://bravenewclimate.com/2011/03/13/fukushima-simple-explanation/). I realise there’s a lot of pro and anti-nuclear lobbying going on here, but it’s really hard to get accurate information right now. I must admit no experience in these matters.
For that reason, can you link to the original sources you quote in your article? There’s some dramatic claims in there, which I can’t discount, but I’d certainly like to go and interpret them for myself.
Second, can you comment as to your own qualifications and experience with regard to nuclear reactors? I’m not suggesting that you don’t necessarily have these, but with all the contradictory information flying around right know, knowing the author’s credibility to talk about this subject is proving important right now.
twobob
March 16, 2011 at 1:41 pm“… understated the real levels by 1000 or three orders of magnitude.”
That says it all, the never ending dishonesty from the pro nuclear crew is only paralleled by that of the pro fossil fuel, anti global warming industry.
“It’s all good, my greed and your willful ignorance allows us both to imagine a scenario that bears no semblance to reality”.
RamaStar
March 16, 2011 at 1:42 pmI agree with Michael L.
Lines like “mockery of claims that Japan’s nuclear crisis isn’t comparable to the Chernobyl disaster in 1986.” hardly exhibit any neutrality in reporting or analysis on this issue on your behalf.
I’m never going to claim to be an expert on Nuclear safety, but it’s not necessarily that nuclear power or the reactors that are unsafe. We need to take into consideration all of the factors, and the major factors are that it has taken a 9.0 magnitude earthquake and a tsunami to get to this point.
This does not equate to nuclear power =evil, or that it can’t be safely used in other countries, including Australia.