News

Mar 7, 2011

Poll Bludger NSW election snapshot: to speak Illawarra

Polls point to an Illawarra-wide swing against Labor of 21% from a margin of error of about 2.2%.

William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

Saturday’s Illawarra Mercury helpfully featured opinion polls conducted by local outfit IRIS of each of the five state electorates on the paper’s turf, each with sample sizes of 400 and margins of error approaching 5%. The best way to read such a poll is to combine the results, which points to an Illawarra-wide swing against Labor of 21% from a margin of error of about 2.2%. Even by Labor’s recent standards this is a dismal result: the average swing in statewide polls has been about 16%. Thanks to reader DaveM for passing this on.

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