One of the many things that worked in Labor’s favor in the 2007 election was the fact it did rather better than its opponents in the draw for ballot paper positions. As I reported at the time, out of 41 at-risk Coalition seats, Labor improved its position in 16, but went the other way only in six.

On Friday the Australian Electoral Commission conducted the ballot draw for this year, and it’s much more even. Out of 48 marginal seats (Labor-held up to 6% and Coalition-held up to 4%), there are 12 where Labor had the benefit of the donkey vote in 2007 but has lost it this year, and 13 that have moved the other way.