Some of you may have noticed that the Pollytrend measures in the sidebar were updated yesterday. Taking a longer look at the these trends, first up for the primary votes and using an all pollster trend measure we get:


Moving on to the two party preferred where we do both the all pollster and phone pollster trend measures:tpptrends

The first three blue dots have appeared. Judging by the hysteria of some folks, you’d think that there had been poll after poll after poll lately showing the ALP two party preferred with a 4 in front of it. In fact there’s been only 3 – 1 Morgan phone poll, 1 Newspoll and 1 Nielsen.

Running both the Coalition and ALP lines together, we see the great convergence:


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Peter Fray
Peter Fray
Editor-in-chief of Crikey
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