This week’s Essential Report comes in with the primaries running 45 (down 1) / 38 (up 1) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – steady since last week. The Greens are on 9 (up 1), while the broad “Others” are on 8 (down 1). This comes from a rolling two week sample of 1937, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 2.2% mark.
Additional questions this week focus on the strength of the political vote, campaigning in shopping centres, productivity, politicians & moral advice and the republic/flag/national anthem triplets.
These additional questions run from a sample of 1078, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 3% mark.
Would you say your choice is very firm, pretty firm but you might change your mind, or might you consider another party and leader as the campaign develops?
On the cross-tabs, Essential tells us:
People aged 55 years and over were more likely to consider their voting choice ‘very firm’ (60%), people aged 25 – 34 were more likely to indicate it as ‘pretty firm but I might change my mind’ (43%), while 18 – 24 year olds were more likely to indicate they ‘might consider another party and leader closer to an election’ (29%).
We often here about the soft Labor or Coalition vote, but the softest of them all appears to be the Greens.
Politicians may be banned from campaigning in major shopping centres because the Shopping Centre Council claims that it causes too much disruption for shoppers. Do you agree or disagree with banning politicians from campaigning in shopping centres?
The cross-tabs have us:
Coalition voters were more likely than Labor voters to agree with banning politicians from campaigning in shopping centres (60% v 55%).
Results were reasonably consistent across age groups; however people in the 45 – 54 age group were slightly more likely to agree (60%).
People in South Australia were more likely than those living in other states to agree with banning politicians from campaigning in shopping centres (71%).
This begs the question, are South Australian politicians really that annoying?
The Prime Minister Kevin Rudd recently said that over the next decade Australia must build the best educated, best skilled and best trained workforce in the world to increase productivity and counter the effects of an ageing population. Do you agree or disagree?
On the cross tabs, Essential says:
Results were consistent amongst most demographic groups. However, Labor voters were more likely to strongly agree with Rudd’s statements (46%).
The Opposition Leader Tony Abbott recently said that he believes women should try to remain virgins until they are married. Do you think Tony Abbott should or should not be giving advice on moral issues like sex and marriage?
On the cross-tabs we have:
Males were more likely to think that Abbott should be giving advice on moral issues (23%), while females were more likely to think he should not (75%).
People aged 45 – 54 were more likely than those in other age groups to think Abbott should not be giving advice on moral issues (78%).
Coalition voters were more likely to think Abbott should be giving advice on moral issues (34%), while Labor (84%) and Green (84%) voters were more likely to think he should not. 56% of Coalition voters and 67% of soft Coalition voters think Abbott should not be giving advice on moral issues.
Do you support or oppose the following…?
On the cross tabs, we have:
People aged 55 years and over were more likely than those in other age groups to strongly oppose/oppose Australia becoming a republic (38%), changing the Australian flag (58%), and changing the national anthem (53%).
Labor and Green voters were more likely than Coalition voters to strongly support/support the changes:
Australia becoming a republic – 59% Labor, 57% Green v 27% Coalition
Changing the Australian flag – 31% Labor, 38% Green v 18% Coalition
Changing the National Anthem – 26% Labor, 33% Green v 18% Coalition