With the mad hullabaloo of the last 2 days, poor old Essential Report – what we usually look at on a Monday – was all but forgotten. It has the primaries running 47 (up 2) / 39 (down 4) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 58/42 the same way, a 3 point increase to Labor from last week. The Greens came in on 8 (up 1), while the broad “Others” are on 10 (up 1). This came from a two week rolling sample of 1979, giving us an MoE than maxes out around the 2.3% mark.

Before we get into the additional questions though, Simon Jackman has been keeping track of the betting market data for the next election – this is how the prices have changed over the last few months, then in one day with the election of Abbott as leader.


Put a fork in them, the election is almost done.

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Back at the poll, the additional questions looked at this week were importance of national issues, approval ratings and preferred leader of the Liberal Party. These additional questions ran from a sample of 1113, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 3% mark.

How important are the following issues for Australia?

(click to expand some of these)



On the cross-tabs we have:

Green (94%) and Labor (87%) voters were more likely to think that reaching a global agreement on climate change is very/somewhat important for Australia. Just over half (55%) of Coalition voters think that this is very/somewhat important for Australia.

Do you strongly approve, approve, disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister?


ruddappstrengthnov ruddisappstrengthnov

The cross-tabs said:

Approval followed party lines – Labor voters were more likely to approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister (91%) while Coalition voters were more likely to disapprove (74%). 21% of Coalition voters approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister.

Since Turnbull is gone and the Opposition leadership settled for the time being, the other questions seem sort of redundant.You can find the results of these in the actual poll pdf itself linked at the very top of the page.

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Peter Fray
Peter Fray
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