Only 22 sleeps now until the next election day! The United States primary season gets under way with what they call the Iowa Caucus in early January and then there will be a rash of primaries to keep all us political junkies going through until the first Tuesday in November.

And some interesting contests are in store as the Crikey US Election Indicators – based on the Irish based prediction market intrade.com – shows.

The contest for the Democrat nomination has narrowed somewhat into a two person race but the Republican contest is wide open.

REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINEE
Rudolph Giuliani39.8%
Fred Thompson5.4%
Mitt Romney18.8%
John McCain8.2%
Ron Paul4.9%
Newt Gingrich0.3%
Mike Huckabee19.9%
Condoleeza Rice1.4%
All others combined1.5%
DEMOCRAT PRESIDENTIAL NOMINEE
Hillary Clinton 60.9%
Barack Obama28.8%
Al Gore2.2%
John Edwards4.7%
Bill Richardson0.3%
Joseph Biden0.3%
All others combined2.7%

When it comes to the eventual winner the Democrats are the early favourites

NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE USA
Democrat59.8%
Republican38.2%
Other2.0%

Peter Fray

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Peter Fray
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