Only 22 sleeps now until the next election day! The United States primary season gets under way with what they call the Iowa Caucus in early January and then there will be a rash of primaries to keep all us political junkies going through until the first Tuesday in November.

And some interesting contests are in store as the Crikey US Election Indicators – based on the Irish based prediction market – shows.

The contest for the Democrat nomination has narrowed somewhat into a two person race but the Republican contest is wide open.

Rudolph Giuliani 39.8%
Fred Thompson 5.4%
Mitt Romney 18.8%
John McCain 8.2%
Ron Paul 4.9%
Newt Gingrich 0.3%
Mike Huckabee 19.9%
Condoleeza Rice 1.4%
All others combined 1.5%
Hillary Clinton 60.9%
Barack Obama 28.8%
Al Gore 2.2%
John Edwards 4.7%
Bill Richardson 0.3%
Joseph Biden 0.3%
All others combined 2.7%

When it comes to the eventual winner the Democrats are the early favourites

Democrat 59.8%
Republican 38.2%
Other 2.0%

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Peter Fray
Peter Fray
Editor-in-chief of Crikey
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