Voters aren’t waiting on the verandas of their Queenslanders with their baseball bats for John Howard. They’re waiting outside triple-garage McMansions in the Sydney burbs.

Crikey is mining Roy Morgan Research data to pull out different demographic groups to find out what seats they’re located in and how they are going to vote. With inflation figures out today, we thought we’d look at voters’ views on interest rates and financial security.

Unsurprisingly, our Roy Morgan Top 25 today shows it’s voters in the Sydney burbs who are most concerned about interest rates – but Labor seats dominate the list. In contrast, it’s voters in the Perth burbs who feel best off.

And despite the bad inflation news today, Peter Costello can rejoice in the knowledge that 76.97% of his constituents agree with the statement “I feel financially stable at the moment”. Only Petro’s mob in the next door electorate of Kooyong are happier.

Crikey’s key seats – the 49 seats we believe will decide the federal election are marked with an asterisk.

More details are available from Electorate Profiles on the Roy Morgan Online Store.

Percentage of electors who agree with the statement “I’m worried about interest rates at the moment”.

Electorate

% of Electors

2PP
Pre-Rudd

2PP
Post-Rudd

Prospect (NSW)

60.58%

LNP 42.5%,
ALP 57.5%

LNP 43.5%,
ALP 56.5%

Fowler (NSW)

56.26%

LNP 29.5%,
ALP 70.5%

LNP 29.5%,
ALP 70.5%

Werriwa (NSW)

53.08%

LNP 43.5%,
ALP 56.5%

LNP 34.5%,
ALP 65.5%

Hume (NSW)

52.79%

LNP 44%,
ALP 56%

LNP 43.5%,
ALP 56.5%

Calwell (Vic)

52.14%

LNP 36%,
ALP 64%

LNP 24.5%,
ALP 75.5%

Watson (NSW)

51.59%

LNP 45%,
ALP 55%

LNP 38.5%,
ALP 61.5%

Lalor (Vic)

51.18%

LNP 37%,
ALP 63%

LNP 36.5%,
ALP 63.5%

Charlton (NSW)

50.05%

LNP 39%,
ALP 61%

LNP 38.5%,
ALP 61.5%

McMillan (Vic)

49.82%

LNP 54.5%,
ALP 45.5%

LNP 47%,
ALP 53%

Dobell (NSW) *

49.41%

LNP 47%,
ALP 53%

LNP 33%,
ALP 67%

Blair (Qld) *

49.36%

LNP 41.5%,
ALP 58.5%

LNP 39.5%,
ALP 60.5%

Hughes (NSW)

48.98%

LNP 52.5%,
ALP 47.5%

LNP 39%,
ALP 61%

Grey (SA)

48.97%

LNP 41%,
ALP 59%

LNP 45%,
ALP 55%

Dawson (Qld)

48.63%

LNP 41.5%,
ALP 58.5%

LNP 32.5%,
ALP 67.5%

New England (NSW)

48.32%

LNP 47.5%,
ALP 52.5%

LNP 49.5%,
ALP 50.5%

Calare (NSW)

48.06%

LNP 53.5%,
ALP 46.5%

LNP 45%,
ALP 55%

Forde (Qld)

47.78%

LNP 49%,
ALP 51%

LNP 40.5%,
ALP 59.5%

La Trobe (Vic)

46.90%

LNP 52.5%,
ALP 47.5%

LNP 48%,
ALP 52%

Lindsay (NSW)

46.75%

LNP 48%,
ALP 52%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

Cowan (WA) *

46.71%

LNP 49.5%,
ALP 50.5%

LNP 38%,
ALP 62%

Fadden (Qld)

46.55%

LNP 54.5%,
ALP 45.5%

LNP 49.5%,
ALP 50.5%

Capricornia (Qld) *

46.35%

LNP 35%,
ALP 65%

LNP 28%,
ALP 72%

Wide Bay (Qld)

46.28%

LNP 55%,
ALP 45%

LNP 38%,
ALP 62%

Chifley (NSW)

46.14%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

LNP 38.5%,
ALP 61.5%

Macarthur (NSW)

46.04%

LNP 47.5%,
ALP 52.5%

LNP 52.5%,
ALP 47.5%

 

Percentage of electors who agree with the statement “The Australian economy appears to be improving”.

Electorate

% of Electors

2PP
Pre-Rudd

2PP
Post-Rudd

Moore (WA)

73.93%

LNP 57.5%,
ALP 42.5%

LNP 50.5%,
ALP 49.5%

Tangney (WA)

73.06%

LNP 55%,
ALP 45%

LNP 52%,
ALP 48%

Curtin (WA)

70.89%

LNP 61.5%,
ALP 38.5%

LNP 46.5%,
ALP 53.5%

Cowan (WA)

67.94%

LNP 49.5%,
ALP 50.5%

LNP 38%,
ALP 62%

Perth (WA)

66.59%

LNP 46%,
ALP 54%

LNP 33.5%,
ALP 66.5%

Kooyong (Vic)

66.47%

LNP 52.5%,
ALP 47.5%

LNP 48%,
ALP 52%

Canning (WA)

65.72%

LNP 55.5%,
ALP 44.5%

LNP 51.5%,
ALP 48.5%

Swan (WA) *

65.10%

LNP 46.5%,
ALP 53.5%

LNP 36.5%,
ALP 63.5%

Fremantle (WA)

64.77%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

LNP 27.5%,
ALP 72.5%

Forrest (WA)

63.90%

LNP 52%,
ALP 48%

LNP 41%,
ALP 59%

O’Connor (WA)

63.15%

LNP 61.5%,
ALP 38.5%

LNP 57.5%,
ALP 42.5%

Boothby (SA)

62.77%

LNP 50%,
ALP 50%

LNP 51.5%,
ALP 48.5%

Bennelong (NSW) *

62.51%

LNP 50.5%,
ALP 49.5%

LNP 42.5%,
ALP 57.5%

Stirling (WA)

62.34%

LNP 53%,
ALP 47%

LNP 48.5%,
ALP 51.5%

Brand (WA)

62.12%

LNP 42.5%,
ALP 57.5%

LNP 44%,
ALP 56%

Gorton (Vic)

61.58%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

LNP 33.5%,
ALP 66.5%

Aston (Vic)

61.39%

LNP 66.5%,
ALP 34.5%

LNP 52.5%,
ALP 47.5%

Lingiari (NT)

61.26%

LNP 51%,
ALP 49%

LNP 54.5%,
ALP 45.5%

Bonner (Qld) *

60.36%

LNP 50%,
ALP 50%

LNP 45.5%,
ALP 54.5%

Moreton (Qld) *

59.96%

LNP 51%,
ALP 49%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

Hindmarsh (SA)

59.64%

LNP 44.5%,
ALP 55.5%

LNP 44.5%,
ALP 55.5%

Lowe (NSW)

59.59%

LNP 44%,
ALP 56%

LNP 46.5%,
ALP 53.5%

Hasluck (WA)

59.21%

LNP 53%,
ALP 47%

LNP 37%,
ALP 63%

Bradfield (NSW)

59.14%

LNP 65%,
ALP 35%

LNP 62.5%,
ALP 37.5%

Ryan (Qld)

59.14%

LNP 53.5%,
ALP 46.5%

LNP 44.5%,
ALP 55.5%

Percentage of electors who agree with the statement “I feel financially stable at the moment”.

Electorate

% of Electors

2PP
Pre-Rudd

2PP
Post-Rudd

Kooyong (Vic)

78.44%

LNP 52.5%,
ALP 47.5%

LNP 48%,
ALP 52%

Higgins (Vic)

76.97%

LNP 50.5%,
ALP 49.5%

LNP 43.5%,
ALP 56.5%

Lingiari (NT)

75.35%

LNP 51%,
ALP 49%

LNP 54.5%,
ALP 45.5%

Goldstein (Vic)

75.33%

LNP 53%,
ALP 47%

LNP 42%,
ALP 58%

Jagajaga (Vic)

74.57%

LNP 50.5%,
ALP 49.5%

LNP 34.5%,
ALP 65.5%

Ryan (Qld)

72.29%

LNP 53.5%,
ALP 46.5%

LNP 44.5%,
ALP 55.5%

Bradfield (NSW)

71.82%

LNP 65%,
ALP 35%

LNP 62.5%,
ALP 37.5%

Warringah (NSW)

71.10%

LNP 56%,
ALP 44%

LNP 42.5%,
ALP 57.5%

Menzies (Vic)

70.84%

LNP 58%,
ALP 42%

LNP 50.5%,
ALP 49.5%

Deakin (Vic)

70.79%

LNP 54%,
ALP 46%

LNP 52.5%,
ALP 47.5%

Melbourne (Vic)

70.49%

LNP 28%,
ALP 72%

LNP 23%,
ALP 77%

Boothby (SA) *

70.30%

LNP 50%,
ALP 50%

LNP 51.5%,
ALP 48.5%

Richmond (NSW)

70.19%

LNP 47%,
ALP 53%

LNP 40%,
ALP 60%

Sturt (SA) *

70.07%

LNP 54.5%,
ALP 45.5%

LNP 42%,
ALP 58%

Fremantle (WA)

70.03%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

LNP 27.5%,
ALP 72.5%

Fraser (ACT)

69.65%

LNP 36.5%,
ALP 63.5%

LNP 28%,
ALP 72%

Canberra (ACT)

69.50%

LNP 39%,
ALP 61%

LNP 33.5%,
ALP 66.5%

Tangney (WA)

69.10%

LNP 55%,
ALP 45%

LNP 52%,
ALP 48%

Hindmarsh (SA)

68.98%

LNP 44.5%,
ALP 55.5%

LNP 44.5%,
ALP 55.5%

Moreton (Qld) *

68.93%

LNP 51%,
ALP 49%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

Bennelong (NSW) *

68.92%

LNP 50.5%,
ALP 49.5%

LNP 42.5%,
ALP 57.5%

Denison (Tas)

68.86%

LNP 36.5%,
ALP 63.5%

LNP 29.5%,
ALP 70.5%

Hasluck (WA)

68.74%

LNP 53%,
ALP 47%

LNP 37%,
ALP 63%

Pearce (WA)

68.47%

LNP 55%,
ALP 45%

LNP 50.5%,
ALP 49.5%

Berowra (NSW)

68.45%

LNP 55%,
ALP 45%

LNP 54%,
ALP 46%

Lowe (NSW)

68.45%

LNP 44%,
ALP 56%

LNP 46.5%,
ALP 53.5%

Percentage of electors who agree with the statement “Recently I’ve cut down my spending”.

Electorate

% of Electors

2PP
Pre-Rudd

2PP
Post-Rudd

Gorton (Vic)

77.71%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

LNP 33.5%,
ALP 66.5%

Blair (Qld) *

77.22%

LNP 41.5%,
ALP 58.5%

LNP 39.5%,
ALP 60.5%

Rankin (Qld)

75.85%

LNP 41%,
ALP 59%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

McMillan (Vic)

75.71%

LNP 54.5%,
ALP 45.5%

LNP 47%,
ALP 53%

Werriwa (NSW)

75.65%

LNP 43.5%,
ALP 56.5%

LNP 34.5%,
ALP 65.5%

Forde (Qld)

75.38%

LNP 49%,
ALP 51%

LNP 40.5%,
ALP 59.5%

Fadden (Qld)

74.33%

LNP 54.5%,
ALP 45.5%

LNP 49.5%,
ALP 50.5%

Groom (Qld)

73.91%

LNP 59%,
ALP 41%

LNP 48.5%,
ALP 51.5%

Prospect (NSW)

72.71%

LNP 42.5%,
ALP 57.5%

LNP 43.5%,
ALP 56.5%

Casey (Vic)

72.64%

LNP 51.5%,
ALP 48.5%

LNP 56%,
ALP 44%

Lindsay (NSW) *

72.48%

LNP 48%,
ALP 52%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

Hughes (NSW)

72.40%

LNP 52.5%,
ALP 47.5%

LNP 39%,
ALP 61%

Calwell (Vic)

71.27%

LNP 36%,
ALP 64%

LNP 24.5%,
ALP 75.5%

Throsby (NSW)

70.80%

LNP 34.5%,
ALP 65.5%

LNP 27%,
ALP 73%

Greenway (NSW)

70.64%

LNP 55.5%,
ALP 44.5%

LNP 34%,
ALP 66%

Eden-Monaro (NSW) *

70.44%

LNP 49.5%,
ALP 50.5%

LNP 35%,
ALP 65%

Maribyrnong (Vic)

70.43%

LNP 41%,
ALP 59%

LNP 24%,
ALP 76%

Oxley (Qld)

70.41%

LNP 47%,
ALP 53%

LNP 39.5%,
ALP 60.5%

Hinkler (Qld)

70.28%

LNP 49.5%,
ALP 50.5%

LNP 34.5%,
ALP 65.5%

Dobell (NSW) *

70.22%

LNP 47%,
ALP 53%

LNP 33%,
ALP 67%

Murray (Vic)

69.94%

LNP 60%,
ALP 40%

LNP 61.5%,
ALP 38.5%

Herbert (Qld)

69.89%

LNP 46%,
ALP 54%

LNP 37.5%,
ALP 62.5%

Petrie (Qld)

69.60%

LNP 40.5%,
ALP 59.5%

LNP 41%,
ALP 59%

Barker (SA)

69.43%

LNP 57.5%,
ALP 42.5%

LNP 48.5%,
ALP 51.5%

Hasluck (WA)

69.08%

LNP 53%,
ALP 47%

LNP 37%,
ALP 63%

Pre Rudd polling covers January-Dec 2006; post Rudd January-June 2007.

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Peter Fray
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