Some interesting analysis of one of the key Victorian Labor
preselection battlegrounds has come Crikey’s way – Gavan O’Connor’s
electorate of Corio. The information is membership data – a little old, but illustrative, none the less
Eighteen 18 months ago Corio had 566 ALP members. The vast majority of
these – 376 – belonged to the cheapest category of membership, the
concessional student and pensioner rate. A further 96 members belong to
the second lowest membership fee grouping.
A big membership on a concessional rate is often a sure sign of a
stack. Have a look at how some the branches broke down in Corio:
|Branches||On concessional rates||Total members|
|Bellarine ALP Branch||30, 6||42|
|Central ALP Branch||14, 2||24|
|Geelong North ALP Branch||178, 23||217|
|Geelong West ALP Branch||91, 33||181|
|Lara ALP Branch||63, 32||104|
Now, there’s a uni in Geelong – but do half its students live in
Geelong North? Does ACTU assistant secretary and challenger Richard
Marles just have a lot of friends there?
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Marles, our sources say, is strongest in the Geelong North and West
branches. Our sources say that these two have had the biggest increases
in membership in the last two years.
It would be interesting to see how these trends are reflected elsewhere in Victoria.