It’s no secret.

Take ten horses:

  • Caulfield Cup: 1st, 2nd, 3rd
  • Moonee Valley Cup 1st, 2nd,3rd ,4th
  • Mackinnon Stakes 1st, 2nd 3rd

Then eliminate:

  • All non starters.
  • All two and three-year-olds.
  • All mares six years and older.
  • All horses seven years and older.
  • The winner of the Moonee Valley Cup, if handicapped for the win, in which case include the fourth place getter.
  • All horses that have not run at least 10,000 metres in the current campaign.
  • The system will throw up a handful of runners, almost always including the favourite.
  • Keep the favourite safe, and back the longest priced runners heavily.

Nick Casmirri writes:
Sorry
to disappoint readers, but the system for picking Melbourne Cup winners
contributed by your anonymous subscriber would not have picked 17 of
the last 20 winners. As I interpret it, the system has in fact produced
only 6 of the past 20 winners, although If point #2 was deleted this
number would increase to 10. And sorry, but I don’t have any ideas of a
system that works – the last winner I tipped was Subzero.

Lachlan Mclean writes:
I
have used this for over 10 years and have only come up short once.The
day before the Cup, isolate the top 6 favourites and 6 long shots and
ditch them. Bet on the remaining 12 midfielders for a win/place. Not
that sophisticated, but effective.

Richard McEnroe writes:
Such a cold and calculated
treatment of the great race! Surely all those feature stories on Tommy
Woodcock by Channel 10 had some emotional impact! To crush the hopes
and dreams of connections so callously is a disgrace. Anyway, the trick
to the Cup is staying ability, for punter and horse. The VRC inevitably
assemble some of the saddest horse flesh for the seemingly endless
support program. I hear there will be 28 races on the card this year
with full fields of 15 runners in each. The first, the Fussy Furniture
Fella Handicap over 790 metres for 9-year-old geldings with no metro
wins this century will be at 5.45 am. The point is, don’t get sucked
into betting on the support card. Back to the Cup, well, as “The
Professor” Roy Higgins likes to say, they can all run two miles, some
just take longer than others. That’s not really helpful I know, but
neither is adopting a risk management approach to your Cup flutter. The
whole approach Crikey is adopting to the Cup is joyless and
un-Australian. What of the romance, the mystery? What of Van Der Hum in
the mud, when it seemed to rain all the time and jocks and
punters alike returned to scale and home splattered with mud and
assorted excreta. What of all that Crikey?

Peter Fray

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Peter Fray
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